BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Beroe
Referee: R. Gidzhenov
Beroe
Match Timeline
Montana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
A. Todorov
Montana
21'
B. Dimitrov · Assist: D. Carmona Sierra
Montana
🟨
28'
Umaro Baldé
Montana
🔄
31'
T. Sonha ↔ F. Alarcon
Beroe
🔄
46'
Caio Lopes ↔ S. Gavrilov
Beroe
47'
I. Ferrer
Beroe
🔄
51'
U. Balde ↔ A. Tungarov
Montana
🟨
55'
Francisco Varela
Beroe
🟨
59'
Stanislav Yovkov
Beroe
🔄
60'
T. Azevedo ↔ Vitinho
Montana
63'
F. Alarcon · Assist: J. Pineda
Beroe
🔄
67'
F. Varela ↔ S. Brunelli
Beroe
🟨
75'
Marco Borgnino
Beroe
🟨
75'
Kostadin Iliev
Montana
🔄
76'
A. Todorov ↔ Beji
Montana
🔄
87'
M. Borgnino ↔ W. Dual
Beroe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
41.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Beroe Win 64.6%
Draw 30.8%
Montana Win 4.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Beroe1.03
Montana0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Beroe Beroe
WWDLW
24 GF / 45 GA
Montana Montana
WLDWL
17 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.53
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
13
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
12
2.57
Shots on Goal
2.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Beroe Beroe 32 matches
Montana Montana 32 matches
Beroe Statistic Montana
6 Wins 4
11 Draws 9
15 Losses 19
24 Goals For 17
45 Goals Against 46
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.53
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
13 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 9
15 Failed To Score 16
2.57 Shots On Goal 2.24
6.9 Total Shots 7.34
2.9 Corners 3.31
31.8% Ball Possession 37.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Montana. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beroe expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Montana in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Montana having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Beroe Analysis

Beroe sit 12 with 29 points after 32 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 24:45 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leandro Godoy (13 goals), Alberto Salido (10 goals), Ismael Ferrer (3 goals), with creative support from Alberto Salido (4 assists), Carlos Algarra López (2 assists), Nene (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Montana Analysis

With 21 points from 32 games and a place of 16, Montana still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 19 defeats with a 17:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Dimitrov (8 goals), P. Ejike (5 goals), I. Kokonov (1 goals), with creative support from Solomon James (2 assists), B. Dimitrov (1 assists), I. Kokonov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Beroe won 1 times, Montana won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Beroe's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Beroe 3-5-2 / Montana 5-3-2
H2H summary: Beroe wins 1, draws 4, Montana wins 0

Lineups

Beroe
Formation
Montana
Arthur
Arthur
F. Costantini
F. Costantini
J. Salomoni
J. Salomoni
S. Yovkov
S. Yovkov
Caio Lopes
Caio Lopes
D. Valverde
D. Valverde
M. Borgnino
M. Borgnino
F. Varela
F. Varela
T. Sonha
T. Sonha
J. Pineda
🎯
J. Pineda
I. Ferrer
I. Ferrer
M. Rosa
M. Rosa
J. Soares
J. Soares
I. Markov
I. Markov
K. Iliev
K. Iliev
D. Carmona Sierra
🎯
D. Carmona Sierra
A. Tsingaras
A. Tsingaras
T. Azevedo
T. Azevedo
D. Burov
D. Burov
U. Balde
U. Balde
B. Dimitrov
B. Dimitrov
A. Todorov
A. Todorov
Beroe 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
Arthur
G
4
F. Costantini
D
3
J. Salomoni
D
16
S. Yovkov
🟨 59'
D
5
Caio Lopes
↓ 46'
M
12
D. Valverde
D
8
M. Borgnino
↓ 87' 🟨 75'
M
32
F. Varela
↓ 67' 🟨 55'
M
23
T. Sonha
↓ 31'
D
7
J. Pineda
🎯 63'
M
11
I. Ferrer
⚽ 47'
M
Substitutes
99
V. Quintero
G
9
Y. Valbuena
F
15
F. Alarcon
⚽ 63' ↑ 31'
F
17
W. Dual
↑ 87'
M
18
S. Rusenov
M
22
M. Georgiev
F
24
S. Gavrilov
↑ 46'
M
25
Johny
D
30
S. Brunelli
↑ 67'
D
Montana 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
M. Rosa
G
13
J. Soares
D
5
I. Markov
18
K. Iliev
16
D. Carmona Sierra
🎯 21'
24
A. Tsingaras
M
27
T. Azevedo
↓ 60'
M
14
D. Burov
D
20
U. Balde
↓ 51' 🟨 28'
F
7
B. Dimitrov
⚽ 21'
F
10
A. Todorov
⚽ 7' ↓ 76'
M
Substitutes
30
V. Simeonov
G
23
A. Tungarov
↑ 51'
M
11
Vitinho
↑ 60'
M
22
Beji
↑ 76'
19
V. Tsekov Dimitrov
F
15
C. Acheampong
D
8
P. Atanasov
M
26
R. Slavchev
F
17
I. Kokonov
M
Last matches: Beroe
22.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
3
L
18.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
14.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
24.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
Last matches: Montana
22.05.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
2
L
18.05.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
L
14.05.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
09.05.26
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
16.04.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
09.03.26
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
03.03.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
16.02.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Montana
Leningradets
0
1
L
26.01.26
Fri
Montana
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Montana
Llapi
2
2
D
H2H: Beroe vs Montana
05.05.26
H2H
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
22.03.26
H2H
Montana
Beroe
0
1
W
20.10.25
H2H
Beroe
Montana
1
1
D
24.04.21
H2H
Montana
Beroe
1
1
D
19.12.20
H2H
Beroe
Montana
0
0
D
Last matches: Beroe
18.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Maritsa Milevo
3
1
W
19.12.25
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
0
4
L
07.12.25
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
03.12.25
Fir
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
1
2
L
21.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
03.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
3
L
20.10.25
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
1
D
29.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
12.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
2
0
W
16.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
H2H at home: Beroe
05.05.26
H2H
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
20.10.25
H2H
Beroe
Montana
1
1
D
19.12.20
H2H
Beroe
Montana
0
0
D
Last matches: Montana
22.05.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
2
L
14.05.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
01.05.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
04.04.26
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
15.03.26
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
16.02.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
09.12.25
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
28.11.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.11.25
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
02.11.25
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
20.10.25
Fir
Montana
Beroe
1
1
D
28.09.25
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
12.09.25
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
15.08.25
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
03.08.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
20.07.25
Fir
Montana
Levski Sofia
0
5
L
H2H away: Montana
05.05.26
H2H
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
20.10.25
H2H
Beroe
Montana
1
1
D
19.12.20
H2H
Beroe
Montana
0
0
D

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15
Beroe Home
30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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