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11.10.2026 17:00

Benfica vs Vitória SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72%
- ▥
BTTS No
55%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Benfica Win 72%
Draw 3.5%
Vitória SC Win 24.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Benfica2.12
Vitória SC1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Benfica Benfica
WWDLW
51 GF / 16 GA
Vitória SC Vitória SC
WLDWL
22 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.57
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
11
BTTS Yes
6
14
Over 2.5
5
6.14
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica Benfica 17 matches
Vitória SC Vitória SC 14 matches
Benfica Statistic Vitória SC
12 Wins 7
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
51 Goals For 22
16 Goals Against 11
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
11 BTTS Yes 6
17 Over 1.5 9
14 Over 2.5 5
10 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 3
6.14 Shots On Goal 4.71
10.36 Total Shots 19.14
5.29 Corners 5.71
48.6% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Benfica's more proactive style and Vitória SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vitória SC. Benfica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 16 points compared to Vitória SC in 14 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Benfica come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Benfica Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 16 points from 7 games, Benfica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 22:7 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on V. Pavlidis (8 goals), G. Prestianni (5 goals), L. Barreiro (2 goals), with creative support from G. Prestianni (3 assists), V. Pavlidis (2 assists), A. Schjelderup (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Vitória SC Analysis

With 5 points from 7 games and a place of 14, Vitória SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gustavo (1 goals), Gonçalo Nogueira (1 goals), T. Borevković (1 goals), with creative support from Miguel Nogueira (2 assists), Alan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 10 times, Vitória SC won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:9 from Benfica's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / Vitória SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Benfica wins 10, draws 5, Vitória SC wins 0

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 18:3 15 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 22:7 15 16
L W W W W
3 7 4 3 0 17:8 9 15
D D W W W
4 7 4 3 0 11:4 7 15
D W W D W
5 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D L D W L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
D W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 9:9 0 11
W W W L D
8 7 2 4 1 14:14 0 10
L D W D W
9 6 2 2 2 5:5 0 8
D L L D W
10 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W W L D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:12 -4 8
D L L L D
12 7 2 2 3 8:14 -6 8
D W L L W
13 7 1 4 2 9:7 2 7
W D D D L
14 7 1 2 4 5:8 -3 5
D L D L W
15 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L L L L
16 7 1 1 5 5:15 -10 4
L D L L W
17 7 1 1 5 3:16 -13 4
W L D L L
18 7 0 2 5 3:10 -7 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2