PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

13.09.2026 17:00

Benfica

3 - 1

GIL Vicente

Estádio da Luz

Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal

Benfica

Match Timeline

GIL Vicente

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Benfica vs GIL Vicente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 81.3%

Odds 1.13

BTTS

Yes

Probability 54.1%

Odds 2.25

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds 1.42

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	81.3%	1.13	▥
BTTS	Yes	54.1%	2.25	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	1.42	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	89.6%	1.22	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	1.50	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	11.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Benfica Win 81.3%

Draw 4.6%

GIL Vicente Win 14.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica2.15

GIL Vicente0.94

Recent Form (Last 5)

Benfica

WWDLW

45 GF / 12 GA

GIL Vicente

WLDWL

7 GF / 4 GA

Key Stats

3.21

Average Goals Scored

0.86

Average Goals Conceded

0.57

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.73

Shots on Goal

4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica 14 matches

GIL Vicente 7 matches

Benfica	Statistic	GIL Vicente
10	Wins	3
2	Draws	3
2	Losses	1
45	Goals For	7
12	Goals Against	4
3.21	Avg Goals Scored	1
0.86	Avg Goals Conceded	0.57
9	BTTS Yes	2
14	Over 1.5	3
12	Over 2.5	1
8	Over 3.5	1
5	Clean Sheets	4
0	Failed To Score	2
6.73	Shots On Goal	4.25
9.55	Total Shots	15.25
5.09	Corners	4.5
47.5%	Ball Possession	56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 13 times, GIL Vicente won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:10 from Benfica's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)

Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / GIL Vicente 5-4-1

H2H summary: Benfica wins 13, draws 0, GIL Vicente wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18:3	15	21	W W W W W
2	Benfica Home	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16	L W W W W
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17:8	9	15	D D W W W
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11:4	7	15	D W W D W
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11	D L D W L
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7:5	2	11	D W L W W
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9:9	0	11	W W W L D
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10	L D W D W
9	GIL Vicente Away	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8	D L L D W
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8	W W L D L
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8:12	-4	8	D L L L D
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8:14	-6	8	D W L L W
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7	W D D D L
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5	D L D L W
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4	L L L L L
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4	L D L L W
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3:16	-13	4	W L D L L
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3:10	-7	2	L L D L L