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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
17.07.2026 11:35
Beijing Workers' Stadium
Referee: Zhang Lei
Beijing Guoan
Match Timeline
Shenyang Urban
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
Serginho · Assist: A. Konte
Beijing Guoan
🔄
38'
He Yupeng ↔ Abdugheni Abduhamit
Beijing Guoan
🟨
45'
Zhang Hongfu
Shenyang Urban
🟨
50'
Felipe
Shenyang Urban
⚽
56'
T. Kunimoto · Assist: Chen Binbin
Shenyang Urban
🔄
63'
Zhang Yuning ↔ Cao Yongjing
Beijing Guoan
🔄
63'
B. Nkololo ↔ Yang Liyu
Beijing Guoan
🔄
63'
↔ Fan Shuangjie
Beijing Guoan
🔄
63'
Gao Jiarun ↔ Pan Ximing
Shenyang Urban
🔄
63'
Li Tixiang ↔ Zang Yifeng
Shenyang Urban
🔄
71'
Li Haoran ↔ D. Mawlanniyaz
Shenyang Urban
🟨
73'
Zang Yifeng
Shenyang Urban
🔄
83'
T. Kunimoto ↔ Yan Dinghao
Shenyang Urban
🟨
85'
Sai Erjini'ao
Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Beijing Guoan Win 62.6%
Draw 11.2%
Shenyang Urban Win 26.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Beijing Guoan1.71
Shenyang Urban1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
WWDLW
29 GF / 23 GA
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WLDWL
24 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
11
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
12
5.88
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 17 matches
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 17 matches
Beijing Guoan Statistic Shenyang Urban
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 9
29 Goals For 24
23 Goals Against 29
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
11 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 6
5.88 Shots On Goal 4.29
16.18 Total Shots 12.41
6.94 Corners 4.24
62.4% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Beijing Guoan's more proactive style and Shenyang Urban's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Shenyang Urban look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Shenyang Urban. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beijing Guoan expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Shenyang Urban in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shenyang Urban having the stronger overall control.

Beijing Guoan Analysis

So far, Beijing Guoan have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 21 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 29:23 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

Shenyang Urban sit 9 with 20 points after 17 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 24:29 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Beijing Guoan won 0 times, Shenyang Urban won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Beijing Guoan's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Beijing Guoan 4-4-2 / Shenyang Urban 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Beijing Guoan wins 0, draws 1, Shenyang Urban wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 7 5 51:31 20 52
L D W L W
2 27 12 10 5 52:33 19 41
W D D D W
3 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
4 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
5 27 11 5 11 55:58 -3 38
L W L D W
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 27 11 8 8 44:35 9 36
W D W W D
8 27 13 5 9 59:47 12 34
W W L W L
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 27 10 6 11 47:47 0 31
L W L W D
11 27 8 5 14 36:47 -11 29
D D L D W
12 27 10 8 9 37:32 5 28
W W W D D
13 27 8 10 9 35:37 -2 28
D D D D D
14 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 27 6 3 18 34:56 -22 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation