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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
02.05.2026 13:30
Allianz Arena
Referee: Frank Willenborg, Germany
Bayern München
Match Timeline
1. FC Heidenheim
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
B. Zivzivadze · Assist: M. Busch
1. FC Heidenheim
⚽
31'
E. Dinkci · Assist: M. Busch
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
44'
Nicolas Jackson
Bayern München
🟨
44'
Diant Ramaj
1. FC Heidenheim
⚽
44'
L. Goretzka
Bayern München
🔄
46'
J. Stanisic ↔ L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
46'
J. Musiala ↔ M. Olise
Bayern München
🔄
46'
B. Ndiaye ↔ H. Kane
Bayern München
🔄
46'
A. Pavlovic ↔ J. Kimmich
Bayern München
⚽
57'
L. Goretzka · Assist: M. Olise
Bayern München
🟨
72'
Jonathan Tah
Bayern München
⚽
76'
B. Zivzivadze · Assist: A. Ibrahimovic
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
77'
J. Tah ↔ A. Davies
Bayern München
🔄
77'
M. Pieringer ↔ S. Schimmer
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
81'
B. Zivzivadze ↔ M. Kaufmann
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
81'
A. Ibrahimovic ↔ L. Kerber
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
85'
Konrad Laimer
Bayern München
🔄
89'
N. Dorsch ↔ T. Siersleben
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
90'
Marnon Busch
1. FC Heidenheim
⚽
90'
M. Olise · Assist: A. Davies
Bayern München

Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 98.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 95.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
98.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
95.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 98.4%
Draw 0%
1. FC Heidenheim Win 1.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.95
1. FC Heidenheim1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
157 GF / 52 GA
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
WLDWL
35 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
3.49
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
32
BTTS Yes
19
43
Over 2.5
21
8.36
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 45 matches
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 31 matches
Bayern München Statistic 1. FC Heidenheim
38 Wins 5
4 Draws 7
3 Losses 19
157 Goals For 35
52 Goals Against 66
3.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
32 BTTS Yes 19
45 Over 1.5 28
43 Over 2.5 21
33 Over 3.5 12
13 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 11
8.36 Shots On Goal 3.48
18.91 Total Shots 11.29
6.07 Corners 4.48
64.8% Ball Possession 42.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bayern München's more proactive style and 1. FC Heidenheim's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 1. FC Heidenheim. Bayern München arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 82 points compared to 1. FC Heidenheim in 18 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Bayern München come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bayern München expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and 1. FC Heidenheim in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Heidenheim having the stronger overall control.

Bayern München Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 82 points from 31 games, Bayern München bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 26 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 113:32 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on H. Kane (33 goals), L. Diaz (15 goals), M. Olise (13 goals), with creative support from M. Olise (18 assists), L. Diaz (13 assists), Konrad Laimer (8 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

1. FC Heidenheim Analysis

1. FC Heidenheim sit 18 with 22 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 35:66, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Schimmer (5 goals), Budu Zivzivadze (4 goals), M. Pieringer (4 goals), with creative support from Jan Schöppner (3 assists), Marnon Busch (3 assists), P. Mainka (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 6 times, 1. FC Heidenheim won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:16 from Bayern München's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 5.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / 1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 6, draws 1, 1. FC Heidenheim wins 1

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation