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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
19.09.2026 11:30
Oakwell
Referee: S. Stockbridge
Barnsley
Match Timeline
Leicester
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
L. Cullen · Assist: L. Thomas
Leicester
🟨
11'
Olabade Aluko
Leicester
🟥
26'
Luca Connell
Barnsley
🔄
34'
A. Richards ↔ T. Noslin
Barnsley
🟨
46'
William Alves
Leicester
🔄
46'
O. Aluko ↔ W. Coulibaly
Leicester
🔄
54'
B. Toure ↔ J. Bland
Barnsley
🟨
56'
Sammy Braybrooke
Leicester
⚽
61'
R. Cleary · Assist: A. Kay
Barnsley
🔄
62'
L. Cullen ↔ W. Burns
Leicester
🔄
62'
S. Braybrooke ↔ T. Watson
Leicester
🟨
63'
Louis Page
Leicester
🔄
67'
C. McGeehan ↔ V. Yoganathan
Barnsley
🔄
67'
S. Gale ↔ C. Taylor
Barnsley
🟨
71'
Patrick Kelly
Barnsley
🔄
81'
L. Page ↔ H. Howell
Leicester
🔄
86'
W. Alves ↔ B. De Cordova-Reid
Leicester
🟨
89'
Arley Kay
Barnsley
🟨
90+6'
Clayton Taylor
Barnsley
🟨
90+1'
Jonathan Bland
Barnsley

Barnsley vs Leicester Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds 2.13
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.2%
2.13 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.46 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Barnsley Win 38.6%
Draw 9.3%
Leicester Win 52.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barnsley1.25
Leicester1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barnsley Barnsley
WWDLW
15 GF / 17 GA
Leicester Leicester
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
7
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barnsley Barnsley 12 matches
Leicester Leicester 12 matches
Barnsley Statistic Leicester
5 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
15 Goals For 20
17 Goals Against 15
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
5 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.5
17.83 Total Shots 14.83
8.83 Corners 5.83
59.8% Ball Possession 66.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Leicester. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barnsley expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Leicester in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leicester having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Barnsley Analysis

With 7 points from 5 games and a place of 15, Barnsley still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 6:8, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. McGeehan (3 goals), R. Cleary (1 goals), Amani Richards (1 goals), with creative support from R. Cleary (1 assists), Patrick Kelly (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Leicester Analysis

With 5 points from 5 games and a place of 18, Leicester still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 4:7, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through W. Burns (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Barnsley won 2 times, Leicester won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Barnsley's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Barnsley 4-2-3-1 / Leicester 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Barnsley wins 2, draws 2, Leicester wins 2

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 8 5 1 2 8:5 3 16
D W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W L D D W
4 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
5 8 4 1 3 17:10 7 13
W D L W L
6 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D W D W
7 8 3 3 2 17:10 7 12
D D W L W
8 9 3 3 3 14:15 -1 12
L W D L D
9 8 3 3 2 6:8 -2 12
D D W W L
10 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
11 8 3 1 4 13:11 2 10
L W L D W
12 8 2 4 2 13:16 -3 10
D W W D L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
14 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 8 1 2 5 4:13 -9 5
L L D L D
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two