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NIGERIA › NPFL
03.05.2026 15:00
Sani Abacha Stadium
Barau FC
Match Timeline
El Kanemi Warriors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
El Kanemi Warriors
El Kanemi Warriors
⚽
33'
S. Anthony
Barau FC
🟨
42'
El Kanemi Warriors
El Kanemi Warriors
⚽
70'
H. Ezeonye
Barau FC
⚽
79'
J. Atule
Barau FC
🟨
88'
Barau FC
Barau FC

Barau FC vs El Kanemi Warriors Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
58.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barau FC Win 84.4%
Draw 15.6%
El Kanemi Warriors Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barau FC0.95
El Kanemi Warriors0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barau FC Barau FC
WWDLW
28 GF / 29 GA
El Kanemi Warriors El Kanemi Warriors
WLDWL
27 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
11
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barau FC Barau FC 35 matches
El Kanemi Warriors El Kanemi Warriors 34 matches
Barau FC Statistic El Kanemi Warriors
11 Wins 12
13 Draws 7
11 Losses 15
28 Goals For 27
29 Goals Against 40
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
11 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 3
14 Clean Sheets 14
20 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward El Kanemi Warriors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward El Kanemi Warriors having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. El Kanemi Warriors arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Barau FC Analysis

From their first 35 matches, Barau FC have collected 46 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 13 draws, and 11 losses, while the 28:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Umar (5 goals), Y. Ibrahim (4 goals), S. Chukwudi Oganbor (3 goals), with creative support from I. Nura (2 assists), M. Umar (1 assists), Y. Ibrahim (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

El Kanemi Warriors Analysis

With 46 points from 35 games and a place of 11, El Kanemi Warriors still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 30:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Abdulrahman (10 goals), E. Jonas (4 goals), I. Muktar (3 goals), with creative support from D. Abdulrahman (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Barau FC won 1 times, El Kanemi Warriors won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Barau FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: Barau FC wins 1, draws 1, El Kanemi Warriors wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 19 11 8 47:27 20 68
W W W W D
2 38 19 10 9 44:31 13 67
W W W L W
3 38 18 6 14 41:40 1 60
L W W W D
4 38 16 10 12 43:39 4 58
L L W L W
5 38 16 8 14 37:34 3 56
L W L W L
6 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
L L L W L
7 37 13 14 10 43:38 5 53
D L W W W
8 38 13 13 12 34:30 4 52
W L W L W
9 37 14 10 13 36:38 -2 52
L W L W L
10 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
L W L W L
11 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
W L L D L
12 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
L W D W D
13 38 13 10 15 44:42 2 49
W L W L W
14 38 13 10 15 42:43 -1 49
W W W D W
15 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
W L W L L
16 38 13 9 16 37:36 1 48
W D D L D
17 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
D W L W L
18 38 13 8 17 30:46 -16 47
L D L L W
19 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
W L L L L
20 38 9 13 16 36:48 -12 40
L L L L W
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation