ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Florencio Sola

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.1%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Banfield Win 28.9%
Draw 18.4%
River Plate Win 52.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Banfield1.02
River Plate1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Banfield Banfield
WWDLW
28 GF / 29 GA
River Plate River Plate
WLDWL
35 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
8
3.71
Shots on Goal
5.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Banfield Banfield 25 matches
River Plate River Plate 29 matches
Banfield Statistic River Plate
8 Wins 14
6 Draws 4
11 Losses 11
28 Goals For 35
29 Goals Against 25
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
12 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 9
3.71 Shots On Goal 5.16
11.95 Total Shots 16
3.57 Corners 5.68
40.3% Ball Possession 65.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by River Plate's more proactive style and Banfield's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. River Plate carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 29 points while Banfield sit 12 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Banfield expected to line up in 5-3-2 and River Plate in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward River Plate having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. River Plate arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors River Plate. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Banfield Analysis

So far, Banfield have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 18 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 17:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tiziano Perrotta (3 goals), Bruno Sepúlveda (1 goals), Neyder Moreno (1 goals), with creative support from Ignacio Abraham (1 assists), Santiago López Garcia (1 assists), David Zalazar (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

River Plate Analysis

River Plate approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 29 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 22:12 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Facundo Colidio (4 goals), Gonzalo Montiel (2 goals), Sebastián Driussi (2 goals), with creative support from Facundo Colidio (2 assists), Juan Fernando Quintero (2 assists), Joaquín Freitas (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Banfield won 3 times, River Plate won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from Banfield's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Banfield 5-3-2 / River Plate 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Banfield wins 3, draws 3, River Plate wins 9
Last matches: Banfield
23.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
1
2
L
19.08.26
Cop
Banfield
Midland
2
2
D
14.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Racing Club
1
0
W
10.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Belgrano Cordoba
0
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
28.07.26
Lig
Banfield
Sarmiento Junin
3
2
W
25.07.26
Lig
Banfield
Huracan
0
1
L
09.05.26
Cop
Banfield
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Banfield
Barracas Central
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Atletico Tucuman
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
13.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Lanus
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Argentinos JRS
2
3
L
26.03.26
Cop
Banfield
Real Pilar
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Tigre
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Rosario Central
1
2
L
11.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Aldosivi
2
0
W
26.02.26
Lig
Banfield
River Plate
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
3
0
W
Last matches: River Plate
16.08.26
Lig
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
2
0
W
08.08.26
Lig
River Plate
Tigre
0
1
L
02.08.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
1
L
29.07.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
25.07.26
Lig
River Plate
Barracas Central
0
1
L
18.07.26
Cop
River Plate
Aldosivi
1
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
River Plate
Flamengo
2
2
D
24.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
14.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
River Plate
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Aldosivi
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Racing Club
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Huracan
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
H2H: Banfield vs River Plate
26.02.26
H2H
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
L
02.11.24
H2H
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
L
18.02.24
H2H
River Plate
Banfield
1
1
D
25.09.23
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
1
D
12.06.23
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
4
L
23.02.23
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
2
3
L
14.09.22
H2H
River Plate
Banfield
1
2
W
18.04.22
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
2
L
09.10.21
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
0
1
L
02.05.21
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
0
W
21.11.20
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
0
2
L
04.11.20
H2H
River Plate
Banfield
1
3
W
16.02.20
H2H
River Plate
Banfield
1
0
L
18.02.19
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
1
D
10.09.17
H2H
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
L
Last matches: Banfield
19.08.26
Cop
Banfield
Midland
2
2
D
10.08.26
Lig
Banfield
Belgrano Cordoba
0
2
L
28.07.26
Lig
Banfield
Sarmiento Junin
3
2
W
09.05.26
Cop
Banfield
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
26.03.26
Cop
Banfield
Real Pilar
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Tigre
1
0
W
11.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Banfield
Aldosivi
2
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
3
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Banfield
Racing Club
0
2
L
03.02.26
Lig
Banfield
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
22.01.26
Lig
Banfield
Huracan
1
1
D
H2H at home: Banfield
25.09.23
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
1
D
12.06.23
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
4
L
23.02.23
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
2
3
L
18.04.22
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
2
L
09.10.21
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
0
1
L
02.05.21
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
0
W
21.11.20
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
0
2
L
18.02.19
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
1
D
Last matches: River Plate
08.08.26
Lig
River Plate
Tigre
0
1
L
29.07.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
River Plate
Flamengo
2
2
D
12.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Racing Club
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Huracan
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
13.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
02.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lig
River Plate
Barracas Central
1
0
W
H2H away: River Plate
25.09.23
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
1
D
12.06.23
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
4
W
23.02.23
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
2
3
W
18.04.22
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
2
W
09.10.21
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
0
1
W
02.05.21
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
0
L
21.11.20
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
0
2
W
18.02.19
H2H
Banfield
River Plate
1
1
D

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D L W L W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W L L L L
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L W W W W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W W D L
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
L L W W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
D L W D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D W
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L L W W W
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D W D W L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W W W L L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L W L D W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D W L D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L D L L L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
D L L D L
Knockout Phase