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BRAZIL › SERIE A
18.10.2026 21:30
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Flamengo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.24
Flamengo1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia Bahia
WWDLW
49 GF / 40 GA
Flamengo Flamengo
WLDWL
82 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
2
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
21
BTTS Yes
22
17
Over 2.5
23
4.8
Shots on Goal
5.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bahia Bahia 32 matches
Flamengo Flamengo 41 matches
Bahia Statistic Flamengo
14 Wins 27
10 Draws 10
8 Losses 4
49 Goals For 82
40 Goals Against 33
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
21 BTTS Yes 22
27 Over 1.5 38
17 Over 2.5 23
8 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 17
5 Failed To Score 2
4.8 Shots On Goal 5.73
14.27 Total Shots 15.76
5.6 Corners 5.05
55.4% Ball Possession 56.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 2 times, Flamengo won 13 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:33 from Bahia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Flamengo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 2, draws 0, Flamengo wins 13

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 29 14 6 9 44:40 4 48
W W L W L
5 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
6
Bahia Home
28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
7 28 12 7 9 37:32 5 43
W D W L W
8 28 11 8 9 43:41 2 41
W W W W W
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 29 10 7 12 34:33 1 37
D L L D L
11 29 10 6 13 33:34 -1 36
L L W L W
12 29 10 6 13 32:42 -10 36
W L D W L
13 29 9 8 12 42:47 -5 35
L L W D D
14 28 9 7 12 36:42 -6 34
W W W L W
15 29 8 9 12 34:43 -9 33
D W D W L
16 29 8 8 13 30:34 -4 32
L L L L L
17 29 7 10 12 32:37 -5 31
W L W L L
18 29 7 9 13 31:39 -8 30
D D L L L
19 29 5 9 15 33:48 -15 24
D L L L L
20 28 3 9 16 29:57 -28 18
L D L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B