Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Paranaense Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Paranaense1.4
Sao Paulo1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Paranaense
WWDLW
50 GF / 38 GA
Sao Paulo
WLDWL
35 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
19
BTTS Yes
17
17
Over 2.5
12
5.2
Shots on Goal
4.23
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Paranaense
32 matches
Sao Paulo
30 matches
| Atletico Paranaense | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 11 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 13 |
| 50 | Goals For | 35 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.2 | Shots On Goal | 4.23 |
| 12.83 | Total Shots | 13.6 |
| 4.97 | Corners | 6.83 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 4 times, Sao Paulo won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Atletico Paranaense's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1 / Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atletico Paranaense wins 4, draws 3, Sao Paulo wins 8
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 64 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 11 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Paranaense
Home
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 1 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B