Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Once Caldas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Nacional1.57
Once Caldas1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Nacional
WWDLW
73 GF / 39 GA
Once Caldas
WLDWL
50 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.39
0.98
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
19
BTTS Yes
25
25
Over 2.5
15
6.14
Shots on Goal
5.68
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Nacional
40 matches
Once Caldas
36 matches
| Atletico Nacional | Statistic | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 16 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 73 | Goals For | 50 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 6.14 | Shots On Goal | 5.68 |
| 16.31 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 5.39 | Corners | 5.24 |
| 58.3% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 8 times, Once Caldas won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:9 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1 / Once Caldas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Nacional wins 8, draws 4, Once Caldas wins 3
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Home
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Once Caldas
Away
|
19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Post season qualification