Login Register
🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
22.04.2026 23:45
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Referee: Ricardo Montero, Costa Rica
Atlanta United FC
Match Timeline
New England Revolution
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
23'
Alhassan Yusuf
New England Revolution
⚽
38'
F. Picault
Atlanta United FC
🟨
44'
Matías Galarza
Atlanta United FC
🟨
47'
Matthew Edwards
Atlanta United FC
🔄
60'
G. Yow ↔ D. Fagundez
New England Revolution
🔄
66'
L. Langoni ↔ P. Miller
New England Revolution
⚽
73'
W. Sands · Assist: C. Gil
New England Revolution
⚽
78'
P. Miller
New England Revolution
🔄
79'
F. Picault ↔ C. Togashi
Atlanta United FC
🔄
79'
C. Sanchez ↔ A. Fortune
Atlanta United FC
🔄
79'
M. Galarza ↔ T. Muyumba
Atlanta United FC
🔄
79'
S. Lobjanidze ↔ L. Brennan
Atlanta United FC
🟨
87'
Brooklyn Raines
New England Revolution
🔄
88'
W. Reilly ↔ E. Latte Lath
Atlanta United FC
🔄
89'
D. Turgeman ↔ E. Klein
New England Revolution
🟨
90+2'
Carles Gil
New England Revolution

Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlanta United FC Win 47.7%
Draw 0%
New England Revolution Win 52.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlanta United FC1.27
New England Revolution2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
WWDLW
14 GF / 17 GA
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WLDWL
30 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
5
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
9
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 matches
New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 matches
Atlanta United FC Statistic New England Revolution
3 Wins 6
3 Draws 1
6 Losses 5
14 Goals For 30
17 Goals Against 17
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
5 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 1
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.86
11.25 Total Shots 8.86
4.63 Corners 2.57
55.4% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by New England Revolution's more proactive style and Atlanta United FC's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. New England Revolution carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 12 points while Atlanta United FC sit 14 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New England Revolution. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlanta United FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and New England Revolution in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New England Revolution having the stronger overall control. New England Revolution look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Atlanta United FC Analysis

Atlanta United FC sit 14 with 4 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 6:12 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Miranchuk (4 goals), Emmanuel Latte Lath (1 goals), Tomás Jacob (1 goals), with creative support from M. Almiron (3 assists), Emmanuel Latte Lath (1 assists), E. Baez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Sergio Santos, M. Almiron, S. Alzate, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 12 points after 7 matches. The return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 12:9, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Yusuf (2 goals), B. Ceballos (2 goals), Dor Turgeman (2 goals), with creative support from Luca Langoni (6 assists), Dor Turgeman (2 assists), Carles Gil (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. Although they are without L. Campana, M. Polster, B. Ceballos, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta United FC won 4 times, New England Revolution won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:25 from Atlanta United FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Atlanta United FC 4-1-4-1 / New England Revolution 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Atlanta United FC 4, New England Revolution 4
H2H summary: Atlanta United FC wins 4, draws 2, New England Revolution wins 9

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 19 6 3 59:22 37 63
W W W D L
2 28 13 10 5 68:50 18 49
W L D D D
3 28 14 6 8 51:40 11 48
W W W L L
4 28 14 4 10 45:39 6 46
L L W W W
5 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
W L W D W
6 28 12 6 10 56:45 11 42
W W W W W
7 28 11 4 13 51:66 -15 37
W L L W W
8 28 10 6 12 38:52 -14 36
W L W W L
9 27 9 9 9 58:65 -7 36
W L D D L
10 28 8 9 11 42:38 4 33
L D L W L
11 28 7 11 10 41:52 -11 32
W L L L W
12 27 6 12 9 34:46 -12 30
L D L D W
13 28 8 5 15 41:46 -5 29
L W W L L
14 28 7 6 15 33:48 -15 27
L D W D L
15 28 6 6 16 35:56 -21 24
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)