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BRAZIL › SERIE B
09.08.2026 14:00
Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Referee: Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
Pedro Oliveira
Athletic Club
🟨
45+1'
Zeca
Athletic Club
🟨
46'
Eduardo Biasi
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Rodrigo ↔ Romarinho
Criciuma
🔄
53'
Zeca ↔ Diogo Batista
Athletic Club
🔄
54'
Carlinhos ↔ W. Aponza
Athletic Club
🔄
54'
Pedro Oliveira ↔ D. Vera
Athletic Club
⚽
55'
W. Aponza · Assist: D. Vera
Athletic Club
VAR
57'
Felipe Negrucci
Athletic Club
🔄
60'
Eduardo ↔ Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
🔄
60'
Caue Santos ↔ Nicolas
Criciuma
🟨
64'
Diogo Batista de Souza
Athletic Club
🟨
66'
Romarinho
Criciuma
🔄
69'
Kauan Rodrigues ↔ Kauan Lindes
Athletic Club
🔄
69'
Gui Lobo ↔ Ronald Lopes
Criciuma
🔄
73'
Felipe Negrucci ↔ Jota
Athletic Club
🔄
78'
Fellipe Mateus ↔ Diego Goncalves
Criciuma

Athletic Club vs Criciuma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.9%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 35.6%
Draw 3.5%
Criciuma Win 60.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club0.81
Criciuma1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
19 GF / 18 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
23 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.15
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
12
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
4
3.25
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 20 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 20 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Criciuma
6 Wins 11
10 Draws 7
4 Losses 2
19 Goals For 23
18 Goals Against 12
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
12 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 3
3.25 Shots On Goal 3.75
11.55 Total Shots 13.1
4.3 Corners 6.1
44.2% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Criciuma. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Athletic Club sit 11 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Criciuma look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club are currently 11 in the standings with 28 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 19:18 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), Max (2 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), Diogo Batista de Souza (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a 23:12 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Rómulo Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 1 times, Criciuma won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Athletic Club's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-1-4-1 / Criciuma 3-4-3
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 1, draws 2, Criciuma wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 16 9 7 54:27 27 57
W W D L D
4 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
5 32 15 8 9 33:28 5 53
L W W L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 32 11 9 12 39:40 -1 42
L D W L D
14 32 11 9 12 35:39 -4 42
W W D W D
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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