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ITALY › SERIE A
12.09.2026 18:45
New Balance Arena
Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
Atalanta
Match Timeline
Cagliari
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
P. Mendy · Assist: M. Adopo
Cagliari
⚽
41'
G. Scamacca · Assist: C. De Ketelaere
Atalanta
🔄
57'
J. Fazzini ↔ A. Fadera
Cagliari
⚽
61'
D. Maldini
Cagliari
🔄
68'
S. Kolasinac ↔ L. Bernasconi
Atalanta
🔄
68'
G. Scamacca ↔ N. Krstovic
Atalanta
🔄
68'
J. Pedro ↔ Y. Sugawara
Cagliari
🔄
77'
L. Samardzic ↔ G. Raspadori
Atalanta
🔄
79'
D. Maldini ↔ R. Kofler
Cagliari
🔄
79'
P. Mendy ↔ Kevin
Cagliari
🔄
86'
F. Kessie ↔ M. Pasalic
Atalanta

Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.72
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
1.72 ▥
BTTS No
65.8%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.96 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.1%
1.25 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Atalanta Win 59.5%
Draw 3.9%
Cagliari Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atalanta1.09
Cagliari0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atalanta Atalanta
WWDLW
13 GF / 7 GA
Cagliari Cagliari
WLDWL
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.78
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.56
4
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
2
4
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atalanta Atalanta 9 matches
Cagliari Cagliari 9 matches
Atalanta Statistic Cagliari
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
13 Goals For 7
7 Goals Against 5
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.56
4 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 2
5 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 4.2
9.8 Total Shots 14.6
3 Corners 5.2
48.6% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 10 times, Cagliari won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from Atalanta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Atalanta 4-3-3 / Cagliari 4-4-1-1
Missing players: Atalanta 3, Cagliari 4
H2H summary: Atalanta wins 10, draws 1, Cagliari wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W W L
7 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
8 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
L W W W D
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W L L W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 4:7 -3 4
W L D L L
16 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
17 5 1 1 3 6:12 -6 4
D W L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
19 5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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