Login Register
ITALY › SERIE A
24.08.2026 18:45
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
AS Roma
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
D. Malen · Assist: P. Dybala
AS Roma
🟨
30'
Nicolò Fagioli
Fiorentina
🟨
39'
Mario Hermoso
AS Roma
🟨
49'
Manu Koné
AS Roma
⚽
52'
D. Malen · Assist: P. Dybala
AS Roma
🔄
54'
R. Mora ↔ M. Soule
AS Roma
⚽
60'
D. Malen · Assist: P. Dybala
AS Roma
🔄
62'
M. Brescianini ↔ A. Jimenez
Fiorentina
🔄
62'
N. Fagioli ↔ C. Inao Oulai
Fiorentina
🟨
63'
Mateo Pellegrino
Fiorentina
🔄
63'
F. Mastantuono ↔ M. Kean
Fiorentina
🔄
68'
M. Hermoso ↔ K. Koulierakis
AS Roma
🔄
68'
D. Malen ↔ S. Castro
AS Roma
🔄
74'
A. Atta ↔ R. Mandragora
Fiorentina
🔄
79'
M. Kone ↔ N. Pisilli
AS Roma
🔄
79'
P. Dybala ↔ N. El Aynaoui
AS Roma
🔄
80'
Joao Mario ↔ V. Valdepenas
Fiorentina
⚽
86'
N. Pisilli
AS Roma

AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AS Roma Win 63.7%
Draw 4.3%
Fiorentina Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Roma1.66
Fiorentina2.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Roma AS Roma
WWDLW
10 GF / 13 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
19 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.71
2.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Roma AS Roma 5 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 7 matches
AS Roma Statistic Fiorentina
1 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
10 Goals For 19
13 Goals Against 8
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.71
2.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 7
0 Total Shots 14
0 Corners 4
0% Ball Possession 39%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 10 times, Fiorentina won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:17 from AS Roma's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: AS Roma 3-4-2-1 / Fiorentina 4-3-2-1
Missing players: AS Roma 2, Fiorentina 2
H2H summary: AS Roma wins 10, draws 2, Fiorentina wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W W L
7 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
8 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
L W W W D
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W L L W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 4:7 -3 4
W L D L L
16 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
17 5 1 1 3 6:12 -6 4
D W L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
19 5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation