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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
29.11.2026 16:30
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal1.34
Manchester City1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Arsenal
WWDLW
17 GF / 10 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
25 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
5.43
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Arsenal 10 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 10 matches
Arsenal Statistic Manchester City
7 Wins 9
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
17 Goals For 25
10 Goals Against 8
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 0
5.43 Shots On Goal 5.86
14.86 Total Shots 14.71
4.86 Corners 6
59% Ball Possession 63.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 3 times, Manchester City won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:25 from Arsenal's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-2-3-1 / Manchester City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 3, draws 4, Manchester City wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 5 2 2 1 9:9 0 8
W L D W D
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
15 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
16 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
17 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
18 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
19 5 1 0 4 1:10 -9 3
W L L L L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship