Arsenal
Match Timeline
Chelsea
Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.1%
|
1.74 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.92 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.24 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 56.1%
Draw 15%
Chelsea Win 28.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal2
Chelsea2.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal
WWDLW
10 GF / 5 GA
Chelsea
WLDWL
23 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.88
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
7
4
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arsenal
5 matches
Chelsea
8 matches
| Arsenal | Statistic | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 10 | Goals For | 23 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.88 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 17.5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 62.5% | Ball Possession | 32% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 10 times, Chelsea won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:14 from Arsenal's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Arsenal 4, Chelsea 3
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 10, draws 3, Chelsea wins 2
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Arsenal
Home
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 15 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Away
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship