GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
SchücoArena
Referee: R. Braun
Arminia Bielefeld
Match Timeline
1. FC Nürnberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
M. A. Zoma · Assist: A. Markhiev
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
25'
M. A. Zoma ↔ R. Lubach
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
35'
Javier Fernandez
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
46'
S. Telalovic ↔ R. Uldrikis
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
46'
C. Lannert ↔ M. Worl
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
46'
A. Grimaldi ↔ P. Scobel
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
59'
B. Boakye ↔ F. Hagmann
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
59'
J. Justvan ↔ T. Baack
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
67'
J. Grodowski ↔ T. Momuluh
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
70'
J. Fernandez ↔ R. Nzingoula
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
70'
F. O. Becker ↔ E. Porstner
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
78'
M. Corboz ↔ I. Young
Arminia Bielefeld
81'
T. Handwerker · Assist: J. Rochelt
Arminia Bielefeld
🟨
90+2'
Stefano Russo
Arminia Bielefeld
🟨
90+2'
Maximilian Bauer
Arminia Bielefeld

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Arminia Bielefeld Win 50.6%
Draw 6.3%
1. FC Nürnberg Win 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arminia Bielefeld1.42
1. FC Nürnberg1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
WWDLW
42 GF / 44 GA
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
WLDWL
38 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
18
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
16
4.48
Shots on Goal
4.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 29 matches
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 29 matches
Arminia Bielefeld Statistic 1. FC Nürnberg
8 Wins 10
7 Draws 7
14 Losses 12
42 Goals For 38
44 Goals Against 40
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
18 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 9
4.48 Shots On Goal 4.41
14.79 Total Shots 12.55
6.28 Corners 5.28
51.5% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Arminia Bielefeld have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 1. FC Nürnberg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arminia Bielefeld expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and 1. FC Nürnberg in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Nürnberg having the stronger overall control.

Arminia Bielefeld Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld sit 13 with 31 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 42:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Grodowski (9 goals), N. Sarenren Bazee (5 goals), T. Handwerker (3 goals), with creative support from T. Handwerker (5 assists), T. Momuluh (5 assists), M. Corboz (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1. FC Nürnberg Analysis

1. FC Nürnberg are currently 9 in the standings with 37 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 38:40 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. A. Zoma (10 goals), J. Justvan (7 goals), R. Lubach (5 goals), with creative support from J. Justvan (7 assists), Berkay Yılmaz (6 assists), M. A. Zoma (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 4 times, 1. FC Nürnberg won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Arminia Bielefeld's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Arminia Bielefeld 4-1-4-1 / 1. FC Nürnberg 4-4-2
H2H summary: Arminia Bielefeld wins 4, draws 4, 1. FC Nürnberg wins 6
Stats
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 13
7 Offsides 3
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
514 Total passes 248
425 Passes accurate 157
1.22 expected_goals 1.05
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Arminia Bielefeld
Formation
1. FC Nürnberg
J. Kersken
J. Kersken
C. Lannert
C. Lannert
M. Bauer
M. Bauer
M. Grosser
M. Grosser
T. Handwerker
T. Handwerker
M. Corboz
M. Corboz
S. Russo
S. Russo
J. Rochelt
🎯
J. Rochelt
J. Grodowski
J. Grodowski
S. Telalovic
S. Telalovic
B. Boakye
B. Boakye
J. Reichert
J. Reichert
H. Koudossou
H. Koudossou
F. Gruber
F. Gruber
L. Lochoshvili
L. Lochoshvili
B. Yilmaz
B. Yilmaz
A. Markhiev
🎯
A. Markhiev
F. O. Becker
F. O. Becker
J. Justvan
J. Justvan
J. Fernandez
J. Fernandez
A. Grimaldi
A. Grimaldi
M. A. Zoma
M. A. Zoma
Arminia Bielefeld 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
J. Kersken
G
24
C. Lannert
↓ 46'
D
5
M. Bauer
🟨 90+2'
D
19
M. Grosser
D
29
T. Handwerker
⚽ 81'
D
6
M. Corboz
↓ 78'
M
21
S. Russo
🟨 90+2'
M
22
J. Rochelt
🎯 81'
M
11
J. Grodowski
↓ 67'
F
7
S. Telalovic
↓ 46'
F
27
B. Boakye
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
18
L. Oppermann
G
8
S. Schreck
M
30
I. Young
↑ 78'
F
23
L. Schneider
D
2
F. Hagmann
↑ 59'
D
28
R. Uldrikis
↑ 46'
F
37
N. Sarenren Bazee
F
14
T. Momuluh
↑ 67'
F
38
M. Worl
↑ 46'
M
1. FC Nürnberg 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
1
J. Reichert
G
8
H. Koudossou
D
4
F. Gruber
D
24
L. Lochoshvili
D
21
B. Yilmaz
D
6
A. Markhiev
🎯 8'
M
25
F. O. Becker
↓ 70'
M
10
J. Justvan
↓ 59'
M
20
J. Fernandez
↓ 70' 🟨 35'
M
33
A. Grimaldi
↓ 46'
F
23
M. A. Zoma
⚽ 8' ↓ 25'
F
Substitutes
26
C. Mathenia
G
5
T. Baack
↑ 59'
M
18
R. Lubach
↑ 25'
M
27
J. von der Hitz
M
39
P. Scobel
↑ 46'
F
44
S. Mkrtchyan
D
22
R. Nzingoula
↑ 70'
M
41
E. Porstner
↑ 70'
D
16
M. Soldic
M
Last matches: Arminia Bielefeld
17.05.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha BSC
6
1
W
08.05.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
2
L
02.05.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
25.04.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Preußen Münster
3
2
W
10.04.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Karlsruher SC
1
4
L
04.04.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
SV Darmstadt 98
2
1
W
25.03.26
Fri
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
4
1
W
21.03.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
SV Elversberg
1
3
L
14.03.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
SC Paderborn 07
2
2
D
06.03.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
28.02.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Hannover 96
0
1
L
20.02.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
2
L
15.02.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Magdeburg
2
0
W
08.02.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
2
W
01.02.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Dynamo Dresden
1
1
D
23.01.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
16.01.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0
1
L
09.01.26
Fri
Arminia Bielefeld
Hansa Rostock
1
0
W
19.12.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha BSC
1
1
D
13.12.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
0
D
Last matches: 1. FC Nürnberg
17.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 96
3
3
D
09.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
03.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
1
D
26.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1
0
W
11.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
0
2
L
05.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
21.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
0
W
14.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
3
2
W
07.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0
1
L
01.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
1
2
L
20.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
13.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Karlsruher SC
5
1
W
07.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
30.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Preußen Münster
1
1
D
23.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
0
2
L
17.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Elversberg
3
2
W
21.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 96
2
1
W
14.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
07.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
2
D
29.11.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
0
3
L
H2H: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg
18.04.26
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
23.11.25
H2H
1. FC Nürnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
2
0
L
19.07.25
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
17.03.23
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
2
2
D
09.09.22
H2H
FC Nurnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
1
0
L
06.06.20
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
1
1
D
10.11.19
H2H
FC Nurnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
1
5
W
09.03.18
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
1
0
W
30.09.17
H2H
FC Nurnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
1
2
W
12.03.17
H2H
FC Nurnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
1
0
L
25.09.16
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
1
3
L
11.03.16
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
0
4
L
25.09.15
H2H
FC Nurnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
30.07.11
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
1
5
L
Last matches: Arminia Bielefeld
17.05.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha BSC
6
1
W
02.05.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
04.04.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
SV Darmstadt 98
2
1
W
25.03.26
Fri
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
4
1
W
14.03.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
SC Paderborn 07
2
2
D
28.02.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Hannover 96
0
1
L
08.02.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
2
W
23.01.26
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
09.01.26
Fri
Arminia Bielefeld
Hansa Rostock
1
0
W
13.12.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
0
D
30.11.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Preußen Münster
1
2
L
08.11.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Karlsruher SC
4
0
W
25.10.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
SV Elversberg
2
0
W
05.10.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
19.09.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
3
L
12.09.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Magdeburg
2
0
W
24.08.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
02.08.25
2.
Arminia Bielefeld
Fortuna Düsseldorf
5
1
W
H2H at home: Arminia Bielefeld
18.04.26
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
19.07.25
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
17.03.23
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
2
2
D
06.06.20
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
1
1
D
09.03.18
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
1
0
W
25.09.16
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
1
3
L
11.03.16
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
0
4
L
30.07.11
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
FC Nurnberg
1
5
L
Last matches: 1. FC Nürnberg
17.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hannover 96
3
3
D
03.05.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
1
D
05.04.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
14.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
3
2
W
01.03.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
1
2
L
20.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
07.02.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
23.01.26
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
0
2
L
14.12.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
29.11.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
0
3
L
07.11.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
26.10.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1
1
D
03.10.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3
2
W
13.09.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Karlsruher SC
1
2
L
22.08.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Preußen Münster
1
2
L
02.08.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
18.05.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
4
1
W
26.04.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3
3
D
12.04.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
1
W
30.03.25
2.
1. FC Nürnberg
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
2
L
H2H away: 1. FC Nürnberg
18.04.26
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg
1
1
D
19.07.25
H2H
Arminia Bielefeld
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
L

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga