INDONESIA › LIGA 1

28.04.2026 08:30

Arema FC

0 - 4

Persebaya Surabaya

Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium

Referee: T. Alkatiri

Arema FC

Match Timeline

Persebaya Surabaya

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 74%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS No

Probability 36.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 50%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	74%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS No	36.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	50%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	2-2	-	-	▥
Correct Score	0-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Arema FC Win 32.7%

Draw 26%

Persebaya Surabaya Win 41.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Arema FC1.31

Persebaya Surabaya1.36

Recent Form (Last 5)

Arema FC

WWDLW

40 GF / 37 GA

Persebaya Surabaya

WLDWL

41 GF / 35 GA

Key Stats

1.38

Average Goals Scored

1.41

1.28

Average Goals Conceded

1.21

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arema FC 29 matches

Persebaya Surabaya 29 matches

Arema FC	Statistic	Persebaya Surabaya
10	Wins	12
9	Draws	9
10	Losses	8
40	Goals For	41
37	Goals Against	35
1.38	Avg Goals Scored	1.41
1.28	Avg Goals Conceded	1.21
19	BTTS Yes	17
23	Over 1.5	21
16	Over 2.5	14
7	Over 3.5	8
7	Clean Sheets	9
5	Failed To Score	4
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Arema FC won 1 times, Persebaya Surabaya won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:25 from Arema FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (74%)

H2H summary: Arema FC wins 1, draws 3, Persebaya Surabaya wins 9

Standings

Indonesia Super League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Persib Bandung	34	24	7	3	59:22	37	79	D W W W W
2	Pusamania Borneo	34	25	4	5	74:31	43	79	W D W W W
3	Persija	34	22	5	7	65:29	36	71	W W L W W
4	Persebaya Surabaya Away	34	16	10	8	61:35	26	58	W W D W W
5	Bhayangkara FC	34	16	5	13	53:45	8	53	W L W L L
6	Malut United	34	15	8	11	68:53	15	53	L D L W W
7	Dewa United	34	16	5	13	44:37	7	53	L L W W W
8	Bali United	34	14	9	11	57:48	9	51	W W L L W
9	Arema FC Home	34	13	9	12	53:47	6	48	W W W L L
10	Persita	34	13	6	15	38:37	1	45	L D L L W
11	PSIM Yogyakarta	34	11	12	11	43:44	-1	45	L W W L L
12	Persik Kediri	34	11	6	17	42:61	-19	39	L L W W L
13	Persijap	34	9	9	16	31:45	-14	36	D D W L L
14	Persepam Madura Utd	34	9	8	17	37:54	-17	35	W L L W W
15	PSM Makassar	34	8	10	16	39:49	-10	34	L L L W L
16	Persis Solo	34	8	10	16	39:59	-20	34	W W D L L
17	Semen Padang	34	5	5	24	22:65	-43	20	L L L L L
18	PSBS Biak Numfor	34	4	6	24	31:95	-64	18	L L L L L

Champions League 2

Challenge League

Relegation