ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Ararat
Match Timeline
BKMA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
32'
A. Grigoryan ↔ A. Ouattara
Ararat
🟨
36'
A. Khachumyan
Ararat
🟨
41'
M. Fofana
Ararat
🟨
47'
G. Lima
Ararat
47'
D. Harutyunyan · Assist: M. Ayvazyan
BKMA
🔄
58'
A. Khachumyan ↔ A. Aslanyan
Ararat
🔄
58'
M. Kante ↔ A. Meite
Ararat
64'
K. Doumbia
Ararat
🔄
72'
C. Dombila ↔ P. Handzongo
Ararat
🔄
72'
M. Fofana ↔ A. Aleksanyan
Ararat
🔄
73'
M. Ayvazyan ↔ P. Alekyan
BKMA
🟨
79'
A. Kartashyan
Ararat
🟨
83'
A. Ouattara
Ararat
🔄
84'
D. Harutyunyan ↔ S. Kirakosyan
BKMA
🔄
84'
N. Hovhannisyan ↔ H. Manukyan
BKMA
🔄
90'
H. Sargsyan ↔ S. Movsisyan
BKMA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
78.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ararat Win 21.2%
Draw 28.3%
BKMA Win 50.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ararat1.09
BKMA1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ararat Ararat
WWDLW
20 GF / 62 GA
BKMA BKMA
WLDWL
29 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
1.12
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
10
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ararat Ararat 26 matches
BKMA BKMA 26 matches
Ararat Statistic BKMA
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 10
20 Losses 12
20 Goals For 29
62 Goals Against 41
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
10 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 5
14 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward BKMA having the stronger overall control. Ararat have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring BKMA. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Ararat Analysis

Ararat sit 10 with 12 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 20:62 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Doumbia (8 goals), A. Eloyan (7 goals), A. Serobyan (7 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

BKMA Analysis

So far, BKMA have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 29:41 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Hovhannisyan (8 goals), G. Petrosyan (6 goals), P. Manukyan (3 goals), with creative support from V. Afyan (5 assists), N. Hovhannisyan (2 assists), L. Bashoyan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ararat won 3 times, BKMA won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from Ararat's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (78.8%)
H2H summary: Ararat wins 3, draws 7, BKMA wins 5

Lineups

BKMA
Formation
Ararat
D. Davtyan
D. Davtyan
G. Arakelyan
G. Arakelyan
P. Krmzyan
P. Krmzyan
A. Petrosyan
A. Petrosyan
M. Avetisyan
M. Avetisyan
A. Askaryan
A. Askaryan
H. Sargsyan
H. Sargsyan
D. Harutyunyan
D. Harutyunyan
M. Ayvazyan
🎯
M. Ayvazyan
N. Hovhannisyan
N. Hovhannisyan
G. Petrosyan
G. Petrosyan
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
C. Dombila
C. Dombila
G. Lima
G. Lima
A. Khachumyan
A. Khachumyan
A. Kartashyan
A. Kartashyan
M. Berte
M. Berte
A. Grigoryan
A. Grigoryan
M. Kante
M. Kante
M. Fofana
M. Fofana
K. Doumbia
K. Doumbia
G. Lulukyan
G. Lulukyan
BKMA 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
D. Davtyan
3
G. Arakelyan
14
P. Krmzyan
6
A. Petrosyan
4
M. Avetisyan
29
A. Askaryan
13
H. Sargsyan
↓ 90'
11
D. Harutyunyan
⚽ 47' ↓ 84'
9
M. Ayvazyan
🎯 47' ↓ 73'
7
N. Hovhannisyan
↓ 84'
10
G. Petrosyan
Substitutes
91
H. Ghazaryan
5
P. Manukyan
49
A. Khachatryan
51
S. Kirakosyan
↑ 84'
8
S. Movsisyan
↑ 90'
19
A. Galstyan
55
A. Movsesyan
47
H. Manukyan
↑ 84'
35
P. Alekyan
↑ 73'
23
A. Petrosyan
42
H. Sargsyan
Ararat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
12
C. Dombila
↓ 72'
55
G. Lima
🟨 47'
3
A. Khachumyan
↓ 58' 🟨 36'
5
A. Kartashyan
🟨 79'
18
M. Berte
10
A. Grigoryan
↓ 32'
38
M. Kante
↓ 58'
42
M. Fofana
↓ 72' 🟨 41'
15
K. Doumbia
⚽ 64'
9
G. Lulukyan
Substitutes
71
A. Martirosyan
4
V. Samsonyan
30
A. Aslanyan
↑ 58'
20
A. Meite
↑ 58'
7
P. Handzongo
↑ 72'
32
D. Ukadike
6
O. Chukwu
14
P. E. Obinna
25
A. Ouattara
↑ 32' 🟨 83'
70
A. Mkrtchyan
27
A. Vardanyan
77
A. Aleksanyan
↑ 72'
Last matches: Ararat
19.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
3
8
L
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
18.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Ararat
Shirak
1
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
21.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
0
0
D
03.11.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
27.10.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
0
3
L
Last matches: BKMA
17.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
16.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
4
L
08.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
3
2
W
28.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
23.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
3
L
08.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
0
2
L
02.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
25.10.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
4
0
W
H2H: Ararat vs BKMA
26.05.26
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
19.10.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
4
0
L
04.10.25
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
13.03.25
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
14.02.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
0
L
27.11.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
1
D
30.08.24
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
03.05.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
3
W
03.03.24
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
0
W
29.10.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
2
0
L
25.08.23
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
0
2
L
30.05.23
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
09.04.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
0
1
W
08.12.22
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
0
0
D
17.09.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
2
1
L
Last matches: Ararat
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
0
2
L
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Ararat
Shirak
1
0
W
21.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
0
0
D
03.11.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
27.10.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
22.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
09.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
H2H at home: Ararat
26.05.26
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
13.03.25
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
30.08.24
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
03.03.24
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
0
W
25.08.23
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
0
2
L
30.05.23
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
08.12.22
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
0
0
D
Last matches: BKMA
09.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
1
W
16.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
4
L
06.12.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
3
2
W
28.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
23.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
3
L
08.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
1
2
L
04.10.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
2
2
D
20.09.25
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
H2H away: BKMA
26.05.26
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
13.03.25
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
30.08.24
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
03.03.24
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
0
L
25.08.23
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
0
2
W
30.05.23
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
08.12.22
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7
BKMA Away
27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation