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CYPRUS › 1. DIVISION
16.05.2026 15:00
GSP Stadium
Referee: M. Christoforou
Apoel Nicosia
Match Timeline
Omonia Nicosia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
I. Kousoulos
Omonia Nicosia
⚽
17'
I. Kousoulos
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
46'
K. Yiannacou ↔ N. Koutsakos
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
52'
Nanú
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
56'
Stefan Simic
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
62'
M. Mayambela ↔ Ewandro
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
66'
Vitor Meer ↔ C. Poursaitidis
Apoel Nicosia
⚽
71'
Ewandro
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
73'
A. Christou ↔ M. Tankovic
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
77'
P. Kattirtzis ↔ G. Tziortzis
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
80'
Tasos Chatzigiovanis
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
83'
M. Odubajo ↔ G. Masouras
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
83'
C. Eiting ↔ C. Konstantinidis
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
83'
A. Chatzigiovanis ↔ A. Neofytou
Omonia Nicosia

Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Apoel Nicosia Win 26.8%
Draw 0%
Omonia Nicosia Win 73.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Apoel Nicosia1.2
Omonia Nicosia1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
WWDLW
53 GF / 40 GA
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
WLDWL
102 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
17
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
23
3.06
Shots on Goal
2.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia 34 matches
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 48 matches
Apoel Nicosia Statistic Omonia Nicosia
15 Wins 32
7 Draws 8
12 Losses 8
53 Goals For 102
40 Goals Against 32
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
17 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 38
17 Over 2.5 23
9 Over 3.5 15
10 Clean Sheets 27
8 Failed To Score 6
3.06 Shots On Goal 2.22
8.23 Total Shots 5.8
3.87 Corners 2.09
36.5% Ball Possession 22%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Apoel Nicosia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Omonia Nicosia in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Omonia Nicosia having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Omonia Nicosia. Omonia Nicosia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 81 points while Apoel Nicosia sit 5 on 52, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Omonia Nicosia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Apoel Nicosia Analysis

Apoel Nicosia sit 5 with 52 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats with a 53:40 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Drazic (11 goals), Nikolas Koutsakos (7 goals), P. Sotiriou (7 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Omonia Nicosia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 81 points from 34 games, Omonia Nicosia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 25 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 80:22, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Mmaee (23 goals), W. Semedo (17 goals), M. Tankovic (6 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 12 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Apoel Nicosia won 3 times, Omonia Nicosia won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from Apoel Nicosia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Apoel Nicosia 4-2-3-1 / Omonia Nicosia 4-4-2
H2H summary: Apoel Nicosia wins 3, draws 5, Omonia Nicosia wins 7

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)