America Mineiro vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
68.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
America Mineiro
21 matches
Athletic Club
21 matches
| America Mineiro | Statistic | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 4 |
| 15 | Goals For | 21 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.29 | Shots On Goal | 3.19 |
| 12.05 | Total Shots | 11.33 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 53.9% | Ball Possession | 43.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Athletic Club's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Athletic Club. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Athletic Club carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 28 points while America Mineiro sit 19 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 11 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats with a 15:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Matías Segovia (2 goals), Paulo Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Gonzalo Mastriani (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Athletic Club are currently 12 in the standings with 28 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 19:18 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), Max (2 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), Diogo Batista de Souza (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 3 times, Athletic Club won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from America Mineiro's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 4 | 51 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 48 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 47 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Athletic Club
Away
|
32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 15 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
America Mineiro
Home
|
32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | -32 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 20 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | -51 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|