ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Referee: B. Amiconi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.6%
Odds 2.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.6%
2.48
BTTS Yes
82.5%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.2%
1.38
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Aldosivi Win 21.7%
Draw 21.7%
Union Santa Fe Win 56.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aldosivi0.92
Union Santa Fe1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aldosivi Aldosivi
WWDLW
15 GF / 26 GA
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
WLDWL
33 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
10
BTTS Yes
13
6
Over 2.5
12
2.86
Shots on Goal
5.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aldosivi Aldosivi 23 matches
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 25 matches
Aldosivi Statistic Union Santa Fe
2 Wins 8
10 Draws 7
11 Losses 10
15 Goals For 33
26 Goals Against 33
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
10 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 20
6 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 8
2.86 Shots On Goal 5.04
11.29 Total Shots 15.74
4 Corners 4.91
42.4% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Union Santa Fe's more proactive style and Aldosivi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aldosivi expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Union Santa Fe in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Union Santa Fe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 21 points while Aldosivi sit 14 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Union Santa Fe.

Aldosivi Analysis

Aldosivi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 8 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats with a 6:19 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Tomás Fernández (1 goals), Fernando Román (1 goals), Nicolás Cordero (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Fernández (1 assists), Fernando Román (1 assists), Lucas Rodríguez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Santa Fe Analysis

Union Santa Fe sit 8 with 21 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 24:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lucas Menossi (3 goals), Agustín Colazo (3 goals), Cristian Tarragona (2 goals), with creative support from Julián Palacios (4 assists), Cristian Tarragona (1 assists), Lautaro Vargas (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Aldosivi won 4 times, Union Santa Fe won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Aldosivi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (78.3%)
Predicted formations: Aldosivi 4-4-2 / Union Santa Fe 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Aldosivi wins 4, draws 4, Union Santa Fe wins 5
Last matches: Aldosivi
15.08.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
0
D
07.08.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Rosario Central
1
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
29.07.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Barracas Central
0
1
L
24.07.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
18.07.26
Cop
Aldosivi
River Plate
3
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
River Plate
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Racing Club
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Belgrano Cordoba
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
31.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Argentinos JRS
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Sarmiento Junin
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Huracan
0
0
D
12.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Atletico Tucuman
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Banfield
0
2
L
23.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
0
1
L
17.02.26
Cop
Aldosivi
San Miguel
3
0
W
12.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Rosario Central
1
1
D
Last matches: Union Santa Fe
15.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
11.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
2
L
06.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
2
1
W
01.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
0
2
L
25.07.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Platense
2
2
D
22.05.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
L
12.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
2
2
D
17.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
2
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
31.03.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
10.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
4
4
D
01.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
2
1
W
26.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
3
1
W
23.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
1
0
W
H2H: Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe
23.02.26
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
1
0
L
04.10.25
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
0
2
W
27.03.25
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
28.08.22
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
0
0
D
01.10.21
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
04.01.21
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
3
L
27.09.19
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
11.08.18
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
1
0
L
10.09.16
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
0
0
D
21.11.15
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
1
2
W
23.03.15
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
3
3
D
14.05.14
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
1
1
D
13.11.13
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
0
W
Last matches: Aldosivi
15.08.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
0
D
02.08.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Gimnasia L.P.
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Racing Club
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
31.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Argentinos JRS
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Huracan
0
0
D
17.02.26
Cop
Aldosivi
San Miguel
3
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Rosario Central
1
1
D
28.01.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Barracas Central
0
0
D
22.01.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
H2H at home: Aldosivi
27.03.25
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
2
1
W
01.10.21
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
04.01.21
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
3
L
27.09.19
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
23.03.15
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
3
3
D
13.11.13
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
0
W
Last matches: Union Santa Fe
15.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
0
2
L
25.07.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Platense
2
2
D
12.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
27.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
2
2
D
11.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
0
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
4
4
D
01.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
2
1
W
26.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
1
L
29.01.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
1
2
L
H2H away: Union Santa Fe
27.03.25
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
2
1
L
01.10.21
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
2
W
04.01.21
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
3
W
27.09.19
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
2
W
23.03.15
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
3
3
D
13.11.13
H2H
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 2.96
Home 3.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.33
Draw 1.95
Home 4.26
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.56
Over 1.75 1.74
Over 2.0 2.06
Over 2.25 2.44
Over 2.5 2.81
Over 3.5 5.72
Under 0.5 6.44
Under 1.5 2.49
Under 1.75 2.16
Under 2.0 1.82
Under 2.25 1.59
Under 2.5 1.46
Under 3.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 2.88
Home 3.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 1.91
Home 4.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.10
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 2.5 2.70
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.42
Draw 2.94
Home 3.34
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.12
Draw 1.83
Home 4.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.72
Draw 2.15
Home 3.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 0.75 1.11
Over 1.0 1.14
Over 1.25 1.36
Over 1.5 1.55
Over 1.75 1.71
Over 2.0 1.90
Over 2.25 2.18
Over 2.5 2.51
Over 2.75 2.97
Over 3.0 4.00
Over 3.25 4.39
Over 3.5 4.75
Over 3.75 6.05
Over 4.0 8.70
Over 4.5 11.50
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 5.70
Under 0.75 5.22
Under 1.0 4.65
Under 1.25 3.14
Under 1.5 2.46
Under 1.75 2.13
Under 2.0 1.77
Under 2.25 1.55
Under 2.5 1.42
Under 2.75 1.30
Under 3.0 1.17
Under 3.25 1.14
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 3.05
Home 3.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 1.91
Home 3.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 2.30
Home 3.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.46
Over 1.75 1.60
Over 2.0 1.82
Over 2.25 2.14
Over 2.5 2.48
Over 2.75 2.95
Over 3.0 3.95
Over 3.5 4.80
Over 4.5 10.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.63
Under 1.75 2.28
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.67
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 2.75 1.38
Under 3.0 1.23
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.03

Standings

Clausura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 0 1 9:5 4 12
L W W W W
2 5 3 1 1 6:2 4 10
W W D L W
3 5 3 1 1 5:3 2 10
W W W D L
4 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W W W L L
5 5 3 0 2 3:3 0 9
L L W W W
6 5 3 0 2 6:7 -1 9
L W W W L
7 5 2 2 1 4:2 2 8
W L D W D
8 5 2 2 1 4:2 2 8
D W D W L
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L W D L W
10 5 2 1 2 5:6 -1 7
L W L W D
11 5 2 1 2 4:5 -1 7
W L D W L
12 5 1 1 3 4:7 -3 4
L L L D W
13 5 1 1 3 2:6 -4 4
L L D L W
14 5 1 0 4 2:4 -2 3
W L L L L
15 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L L L D
Knockout Phase