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09.05.2026 14:15
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Referee: A. Morilla
Albacete
Match Timeline
Cultural Leonesa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
27'
Lorenzo Aguado
Albacete
🟨
28'
Víctor García
Cultural Leonesa
⚽
29'
J. Betancor
Albacete
🔄
56'
V. Garcia ↔ L. Ribeiro
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
56'
R. Sobrino ↔ R. Tresaco
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
59'
N. Radoja ↔ S. Maestre
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
60'
T. Ribeiro ↔ M. Barzic
Cultural Leonesa
🟨
61'
Lorenzo Aguado
Albacete
🔄
65'
Jogo ↔ J. Moreno
Albacete
🔄
65'
V. San Bartolome ↔ A. Rubio
Albacete
🔄
65'
Pepe ↔ D. Bernabeu
Albacete
🔄
72'
Lorenzo ↔ F. Gamez
Albacete
🔄
75'
V. Moreno ↔ D. Collado
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
78'
J. Betancor ↔ Capi
Albacete
⚽
87'
L. Ribeiro · Assist: R. Tresaco
Cultural Leonesa
⚽
88'
Capi · Assist: D. Bernabeu
Albacete
🟨
90+8'
Lucas Ribeiro
Cultural Leonesa
🟥
90+2'
Ivan Calero
Cultural Leonesa
VAR
90+7'
Lucas Ribeiro
Cultural Leonesa
VAR
90+1'
Ivan Calero
Cultural Leonesa

Albacete vs Cultural Leonesa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Albacete Win 90.3%
Draw 0%
Cultural Leonesa Win 9.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Albacete1.5
Cultural Leonesa1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Albacete Albacete
WWDLW
60 GF / 58 GA
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
WLDWL
46 GF / 69 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
25
BTTS Yes
21
23
Over 2.5
22
4
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Albacete Albacete 43 matches
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 42 matches
Albacete Statistic Cultural Leonesa
16 Wins 11
12 Draws 9
15 Losses 22
60 Goals For 46
58 Goals Against 69
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
25 BTTS Yes 21
31 Over 1.5 28
23 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 13
15 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 16
4 Shots On Goal 4.17
12.07 Total Shots 11.29
4.77 Corners 3.57
40% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cultural Leonesa. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Albacete expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cultural Leonesa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cultural Leonesa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Albacete arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 50 points compared to Cultural Leonesa in 22 on 33, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Albacete Analysis

Albacete sit 13 with 50 points after 38 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 49:51 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jefté Betancor (10 goals), A. Puertas (8 goals), J. Morcillo (8 goals), with creative support from J. Morcillo (5 assists), F. Gamez (5 assists), A. Puertas (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cultural Leonesa Analysis

Cultural Leonesa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 22 with 33 points from 38 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 35:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Chacon (8 goals), M. Justo (5 goals), D. Collado (3 goals), with creative support from I. Calero (5 assists), L. Chacon (3 assists), Rafa Tresaco (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Albacete won 1 times, Cultural Leonesa won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Albacete's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Albacete 4-4-2 / Cultural Leonesa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Albacete wins 1, draws 3, Cultural Leonesa wins 0

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation