Alaves vs Malaga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 0%
Draw 0%
Malaga Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.67
Malaga1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves
WWDLW
17 GF / 8 GA
Malaga
WLDWL
16 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
5
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
7
4.43
Shots on Goal
2.63
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
11 matches
Malaga
13 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 1 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 17 | Goals For | 16 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.43 | Shots On Goal | 2.63 |
| 12.43 | Total Shots | 10.63 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 5.75 |
| 42.1% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 4 times, Malaga won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Alaves's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Alaves 3-5-2 / Malaga 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Alaves wins 4, draws 1, Malaga wins 1
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 24 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Alaves
Home
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Malaga
Away
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
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