Login Register
TURKEY › SüPER LIG
10.10.2026 13:00
Alanya Oba Stadium
Referee: D. Celik

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.93
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.2%
1.93 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.09 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.7%
1.49 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Alanyaspor Win 76.2%
Draw 6.1%
Erzurumspor FK Win 17.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alanyaspor1.5
Erzurumspor FK0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
WWDLW
12 GF / 8 GA
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 8 matches
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 8 matches
Alanyaspor Statistic Erzurumspor FK
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
12 Goals For 6
8 Goals Against 12
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 4
3 Shots On Goal 2.67
10.83 Total Shots 9
5.33 Corners 3.17
40.7% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Alanyaspor's more proactive style and Erzurumspor FK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alanyaspor expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Erzurumspor FK in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Erzurumspor FK having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Alanyaspor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 11 points compared to Erzurumspor FK in 14 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Erzurumspor FK. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Alanyaspor Analysis

Alanyaspor approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 11 points after 6 outings. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Gaius Makouta (2 goals), Arda Usluoğlu (2 goals), Ruan Pereira Duarte (1 goals), with creative support from Florent Hadergjonaj (2 assists), Ruan Pereira Duarte (1 assists), Iván Cédric (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Erzurumspor FK Analysis

With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Erzurumspor FK still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:11, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Eren Tozlu (2 goals), Miguel Cardoso (1 goals), with creative support from Guram Giorbelidze (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Alanyaspor won 2 times, Erzurumspor FK won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Alanyaspor's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Alanyaspor 3-4-3 / Erzurumspor FK 5-4-1
Missing players: Alanyaspor 1, Erzurumspor FK 0
H2H summary: Alanyaspor wins 2, draws 1, Erzurumspor FK wins 2

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 15:7 8 13
W W D W L
2 6 4 1 1 13:10 3 13
L W W W W
3 6 4 0 2 14:7 7 12
L W W W L
4 6 4 0 2 7:4 3 12
W L W W W
5 6 3 2 1 8:6 2 11
W D W L W
6 6 3 1 2 16:6 10 10
W D L W W
7 6 3 1 2 13:5 8 10
W L W L W
8 6 2 4 0 7:5 2 10
D W D D W
9 6 3 1 2 7:6 1 10
D W L W L
10 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
L D W L W
11 6 2 1 3 13:12 1 7
L W W L L
12 6 2 1 3 10:11 -1 7
W L L D L
13 6 2 1 3 5:13 -8 7
L L L D W
14 6 2 1 3 3:11 -8 7
W L W D L
15 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
D W L L L
16 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L L W
17 6 0 3 3 11:15 -4 3
D D L L L
18 6 1 0 5 2:16 -14 3
L L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig