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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
11.10.2026 18:00
Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al Shabab vs Al Taawon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Shabab Win 42.4%
Draw 25.9%
Al Taawon Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Shabab1.4
Al Taawon0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Shabab Al Shabab
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Al Taawon Al Taawon
WLDWL
7 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
4
4.29
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Shabab Al Shabab 10 matches
Al Taawon Al Taawon 9 matches
Al Shabab Statistic Al Taawon
3 Wins 1
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 4
13 Goals For 7
12 Goals Against 14
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
5 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
4.29 Shots On Goal 3.43
12.57 Total Shots 14.86
6.71 Corners 7
51.3% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al Taawon arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Shabab expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al Taawon in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Taawon having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al Taawon. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Al Shabab Analysis

Al Shabab sit 14 with 4 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Y. Carrasco (2 goals), Roger Martínez (2 goals), J. Brownhill (1 goals), with creative support from J. Brownhill (2 assists), Y. Carrasco (1 assists), Y. Adli (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Taawon Analysis

Al Taawon sit 17 with 3 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 3:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Hamed Allah (2 goals), Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji (1 goals), with creative support from M. Petkov (1 assists), Y. El Bahraoui (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al Shabab won 3 times, Al Taawon won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:28 from Al Shabab's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.1%)
Predicted formations: Al Shabab 4-4-2 / Al Taawon 5-4-1
H2H summary: Al Shabab wins 3, draws 4, Al Taawon wins 8

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 23:5 18 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 2 0 12:6 6 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
D W L W W
4 7 5 1 1 16:8 8 16
D W W W W
5 7 5 0 2 13:6 7 15
W W W L L
6 7 4 0 3 16:10 6 12
W L W L L
7 7 3 3 1 12:10 2 12
L W D W D
8 7 3 2 2 7:5 2 11
D W L W D
9 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
D D W L L
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W D D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:16 -8 8
W D L W D
12 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D L D W D
13 7 0 5 2 3:10 -7 5
D D L L D
14 7 0 4 3 6:11 -5 4
D L L D D
15 7 0 3 4 4:11 -7 3
L L D D D
16 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
17 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D L D
18 7 0 2 5 5:13 -8 2
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1