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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
12.09.2026 18:00
Al-Shabab Club Stadium
Referee: Abdullah Al-Owaidan, Saudi Arabia
Al Shabab
Match Timeline
Al-Fayha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
26'
Alfa Semedo ↔ Rayan Enad
Al-Fayha
🔄
61'
Abdulrahman Al-Oboud ↔ Hammam Al-Hammami
Al Shabab
🔄
63'
Lázaro Vinicius Marques ↔ Yago Souza
Al-Fayha
🟨
73'
Yago Souza
Al-Fayha
🔄
84'
Jason Remeseiro ↔ Al Baraa Adawi
Al-Fayha
🔄
84'
Mansor Al Beshe ↔ Malek Al-Abdulmonam
Al-Fayha
🟨
89'
Rayan Enad
Al-Fayha
🟨
90+1'
Dhari Sayyar Al Anazi
Al Shabab

Al Shabab vs Al-Fayha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.3%
1.55 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.51 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Shabab Win 72.3%
Draw 8.7%
Al-Fayha Win 19%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Shabab1.75
Al-Fayha1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Shabab Al Shabab
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
WLDWL
7 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.22
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Shabab Al Shabab 9 matches
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 9 matches
Al Shabab Statistic Al-Fayha
3 Wins 1
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 5
13 Goals For 7
12 Goals Against 20
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.22
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 5
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.5
12.33 Total Shots 12.67
6.5 Corners 3
50.5% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al-Fayha. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Al Shabab Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Al Shabab have collected 3 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Carrasco (2 goals), J. Brownhill (1 goals), Hammam Al-Hammami (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Carrasco (1 assists), J. Brownhill (1 assists), Y. Adli (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Fayha Analysis

So far, Al-Fayha have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 5 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 6:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lázaro (2 goals), Hugo Moura (2 goals), F. Sakala (1 goals), with creative support from Lázaro (1 assists), Nawaf Al-Harthi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al Shabab won 11 times, Al-Fayha won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:14 from Al Shabab's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Al Shabab 4-4-2 / Al-Fayha 4-4-2
H2H summary: Al Shabab wins 11, draws 2, Al-Fayha wins 2

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 26:7 19 21
W W L W W
2 8 6 1 1 21:8 13 19
W D W W W
3 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
L W W W D
5 8 5 1 2 14:7 7 16
D W W W L
6 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
7 8 3 3 2 12:12 0 12
D D D W L
8 8 3 3 2 12:15 -3 12
L L W D W
9 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 3 3 8:10 -2 9
D L W D D
11 8 2 3 3 9:17 -8 9
D W D L W
12 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
W D L L D
13 8 1 4 3 8:12 -4 7
D D L D W
14 8 0 6 2 4:11 -7 6
D D D L L
15 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
16 8 0 3 5 4:15 -11 3
L L L D D
17 8 0 3 5 3:15 -12 3
L L L D L
18 7 0 2 5 5:13 -8 2
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1