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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
18.09.2026 21:00
Estadio Cincuentenario
Referee: Carlos Alberto Diaz Vargas, Colombia
Águilas Doradas
Match Timeline
Deportivo Pereira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Sebastián Urrea
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
17'
Jorge Bermúdez
Deportivo Pereira
⚽
22'
Fabián Suárez · Assist: Andrés Ricaurte
Águilas Doradas
VAR
24'
Fabián Suárez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
46'
Eduar Arízalas ↔ Jhon Meléndez
Águilas Doradas
🟨
50'
Jhon Meléndez
Águilas Doradas
🟨
53'
Danilo Ortiz
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
54'
Sebastián Acosta
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
64'
Sebastián Acosta ↔ Marco Pérez
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
67'
Javier Mena
Águilas Doradas
🟨
67'
Walmer Pacheco
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
68'
Frank Lozano
Águilas Doradas
⚽
69'
Jhon Largacha · Assist: Jordy Monroy
Deportivo Pereira
⚽
71'
Anthony Vásquez · Assist: Jhon Meléndez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
72'
Fabián Suárez ↔ Iván Rojas
Águilas Doradas
🔄
72'
Nicolás Lara ↔ Junior Noguera
Águilas Doradas
🔄
78'
Jordy Monroy ↔ Anderson Plata
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
82'
Juan Ávalo ↔ Matías Ramírez
Águilas Doradas
🟨
85'
Anderson Plata
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
87'
Jhon Largacha ↔ Miguel Aguirre
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
87'
Jorge Bermúdez ↔ Jhon Montoya
Deportivo Pereira
⚽
90'
Danilo Ortiz · Assist: Jhon Montoya
Deportivo Pereira

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.41
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.92
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.5%
1.41 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.10 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.92 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.3%
1.39 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Águilas Doradas Win 58.5%
Draw 16.5%
Deportivo Pereira Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Águilas Doradas1.32
Deportivo Pereira0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WWDLW
30 GF / 35 GA
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WLDWL
19 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
17
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
11
3.81
Shots on Goal
3.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 26 matches
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 26 matches
Águilas Doradas Statistic Deportivo Pereira
9 Wins 2
9 Draws 10
8 Losses 14
30 Goals For 19
35 Goals Against 41
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
17 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 14
3.81 Shots On Goal 3.23
11.77 Total Shots 8.96
4.73 Corners 2.42
50.3% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Pereira. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Águilas Doradas expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Deportivo Pereira in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Pereira having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Águilas Doradas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 26 points compared to Deportivo Pereira in 20 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

So far, Águilas Doradas have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Jorge Rivaldo (10 goals), F. Lozano (3 goals), R. Márquez (3 goals), with creative support from E. Arízalas (5 assists), Bryan Urueña (4 assists), A. Ricaurte (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

Deportivo Pereira approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 10 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 15:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Quiñones (4 goals), J. Monroy (4 goals), M. Pérez (3 goals), with creative support from J. Quiñones (2 assists), W. Pacheco (2 assists), J. Largacha (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Águilas Doradas won 5 times, Deportivo Pereira won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Águilas Doradas's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Águilas Doradas 4-3-3 / Deportivo Pereira 4-4-2
H2H summary: Águilas Doradas wins 5, draws 7, Deportivo Pereira wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W D L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D D L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W L L D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification