ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

01.09.2026 18:45

Accrington ST

2 - 2

Grimsby

The Crown Ground

Referee: M. Barlow

Accrington ST

Match Timeline

Grimsby

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Accrington ST vs Grimsby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 45.5%

Odds 2.00

BTTS

Probability 56%

Odds 1.91

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 65.5%

Odds 1.83

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	45.5%	2.00	▥
BTTS	No	56%	1.91	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	65.5%	1.83	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.21	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	5.00	▥
Correct Score	0-1	-	7.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Accrington ST Win 37.4%

Draw 17.1%

Grimsby Win 45.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Accrington ST0.92

Grimsby1.37

Recent Form (Last 5)

Accrington ST

WWDLW

9 GF / 7 GA

Grimsby

WLDWL

17 GF / 6 GA

Key Stats

1.13

Average Goals Scored

1.7

0.88

Average Goals Conceded

0.6

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.33

Shots on Goal

3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Accrington ST 8 matches

Grimsby 10 matches

Accrington ST	Statistic	Grimsby
3	Wins	5
3	Draws	5
2	Losses	0
9	Goals For	17
7	Goals Against	6
1.13	Avg Goals Scored	1.7
0.88	Avg Goals Conceded	0.6
2	BTTS Yes	4
4	Over 1.5	6
3	Over 2.5	4
2	Over 3.5	3
5	Clean Sheets	6
3	Failed To Score	3
6.33	Shots On Goal	3.33
18.67	Total Shots	16.33
4.67	Corners	6.67
50.7%	Ball Possession	53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Accrington ST won 4 times, Grimsby won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Accrington ST's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)

Predicted formations: Accrington ST 3-4-1-2 / Grimsby 4-1-4-1

H2H summary: Accrington ST wins 4, draws 3, Grimsby wins 4

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Salford City	9	5	1	3	13:10	3	16	W W W D W
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17:10	7	15	W W D D D
3	Crewe	9	3	6	0	11:7	4	15	W D D D D
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	16:14	2	15	L W D W D
5	Bristol Rovers	9	5	0	4	14:14	0	15	L W L L W
6	York	8	4	2	2	16:10	6	14	W L W D L
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14	D W D D D
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14	W L W W D
9	Grimsby Away	9	3	4	2	13:10	3	13	L L W W D
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	11:9	2	13	D L W W W
11	Rochdale	9	4	1	4	10:11	-1	13	W W W D L
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	12:12	0	11	L D D L W
13	Swindon Town	9	3	2	4	9:13	-4	11	L D L L W
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	9:14	-5	11	W D D W L
15	Newport County	9	2	4	3	12:12	0	10	D W D D L
16	Accrington ST Home	9	2	4	3	13:14	-1	10	W D D L W
17	Rotherham	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10	L D W D L
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10	L L L D W
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	10:12	-2	10	D D D L L
20	Exeter City	9	2	3	4	5:6	-1	9	W L D L D
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	9:13	-4	7	L L L L D
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3:6	-3	6	L L W D D
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3:9	-6	5	L W L L D
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4	L L L D L

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League