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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
18.09.2026 16:00
Raatin stadion
Referee: Kontinen Joona
AC Oulu
Match Timeline
Inter Turku
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Janne-Pekka Laine
Inter Turku
⚽
39'
Jasse Tuominen
Inter Turku
🟨
42'
Otto Kemppainen
AC Oulu
🔄
56'
Roope Riski ↔ Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo
AC Oulu
🔄
56'
Markus Arsalo ↔ Iiro Mendolin
AC Oulu
🔄
56'
Otto Kemppainen ↔ Sami Sipola
AC Oulu
🔄
69'
Muhammed Suso ↔ Herman Sjögrell
Inter Turku
🔄
69'
Janne-Pekka Laine ↔ Prosper Ahiabu
Inter Turku
🟨
75'
Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo
AC Oulu
🔄
76'
Elias Kallio ↔ Joel lotvonen
AC Oulu
🔄
76'
Mikko Pitkanen ↔ Santeri Silander
AC Oulu
🔄
77'
Alie Conteh ↔ Jean Botué
Inter Turku
🔄
77'
Jasse Tuominen ↔ Johannes Yli-Kokko
Inter Turku
🟨
84'
Vesa-Pekka Vasara
Inter Turku
🟨
86'
Juha Pirinen
AC Oulu
🔄
90+3'
Clinton Degol Jephta ↔ Julius Tauriainen
Inter Turku

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.4%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.4%
1.20 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.76 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.2%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
AC Oulu Win 27.6%
Draw 22.3%
Inter Turku Win 50.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Oulu1.06
Inter Turku1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WWDLW
30 GF / 31 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WLDWL
45 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
12
BTTS Yes
18
10
Over 2.5
14
2
Shots on Goal
2.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Oulu AC Oulu 26 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 36 matches
AC Oulu Statistic Inter Turku
11 Wins 17
5 Draws 13
10 Losses 6
30 Goals For 45
31 Goals Against 33
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
12 BTTS Yes 18
15 Over 1.5 24
10 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 15
7 Failed To Score 9
2 Shots On Goal 2.07
5.33 Total Shots 4.27
2.08 Corners 2.03
20.6% Ball Possession 25.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Inter Turku's more proactive style and AC Oulu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Inter Turku. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

AC Oulu Analysis

AC Oulu come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 34 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 25:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Kallio (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 42 points after 22 matches. With 11 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Ahiabu (1 goals), C. Jephta (1 goals), J. Yli-Kokko (1 goals), with creative support from A. Granlund (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 0 times, Inter Turku won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:12 from AC Oulu's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: AC Oulu 4-2-3-1 / Inter Turku 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AC Oulu wins 0, draws 1, Inter Turku wins 4

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L W D D L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
D W W L W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D D W W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D D W D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W L L L D
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
L D L W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W W D D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs