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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
11.10.2026 15:25
Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds 3.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.98
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.5%
3.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.98 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
90.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Abha Win 18.7%
Draw 22.8%
Al-Faisaly FC Win 58.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Abha1.1
Al-Faisaly FC1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Abha Abha
WWDLW
6 GF / 15 GA
Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
3.29
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Abha Abha 9 matches
Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC 8 matches
Abha Statistic Al-Faisaly FC
0 Wins 1
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
6 Goals For 8
15 Goals Against 14
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
3.29 Shots On Goal 2.71
9.86 Total Shots 7.29
2.86 Corners 2.14
47.1% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Al-Faisaly FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Abha have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Abha expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Al-Faisaly FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Faisaly FC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Abha Analysis

Abha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 2 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 5:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mohammed Al-Dosari (1 goals), A. Gory (1 goals), N. Fekir (1 goals), with creative support from Mohammed Al-Dosari (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Faisaly FC Analysis

With 3 points from 7 games and a place of 16, Al-Faisaly FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Bongonda (2 goals), Alexandre Mendy (1 goals), C. Bassogog (1 goals), with creative support from Alexandre Mendy (1 assists), C. Bassogog (1 assists), Andrei Girotto (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Abha won 3 times, Al-Faisaly FC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Abha's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Abha 4-5-1 / Al-Faisaly FC 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Abha wins 3, draws 3, Al-Faisaly FC wins 4

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 21:8 13 19
W D W W W
2 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
3 7 6 0 1 23:5 18 18
W L W W W
4 7 5 2 0 12:6 6 17
W W W D W
5 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
6 7 5 0 2 13:6 7 15
W W W L L
7 8 3 3 2 12:15 -3 12
L L W D W
8 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
D D W L L
9 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L D W L W
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W D D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:16 -8 8
W D L W D
12 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D L D W D
13 7 0 5 2 3:10 -7 5
D D L L D
14 7 0 4 3 6:11 -5 4
D L L D D
15 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
16 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D L D
17 8 0 3 5 4:15 -11 3
L L L D D
18
Abha Home
7 0 2 5 5:13 -8 2
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1