BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
FT
2 - 0
ABC
Match Timeline
Sousa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
55'
Rikelmi
ABC
🟥
60'
Sousa
Sousa
73'
Luiz Fernando
ABC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
ABC Win 55.8%
Draw 0%
Sousa Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABC1.2
Sousa0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABC ABC
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Sousa Sousa
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABC ABC 6 matches
Sousa Sousa 8 matches
ABC Statistic Sousa
4 Wins 5
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
9 Goals For 7
5 Goals Against 6
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by ABC's more proactive style and Sousa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sousa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. ABC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. ABC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 13 points compared to Sousa in 3 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sousa.

ABC Analysis

ABC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 6 outings. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:5, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Igor Bahia (2 goals), Joao Pedro (2 goals), Wellington Carvalho (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sousa Analysis

Sousa come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 9 points after 6 matches. With 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 4:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Diego Viana (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, ABC won 5 times, Sousa won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from ABC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: ABC wins 5, draws 0, Sousa wins 2
Last matches: ABC
21.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
0
3
L
Last matches: Sousa
14.06.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Pombal
2
1
W
04.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Potiguar Mossoró
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
0
0
D
29.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
3
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
11.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H: ABC vs Sousa
16.05.26
H2H
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
25.04.26
H2H
Sousa
ABC
0
1
W
06.01.24
H2H
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
09.11.21
H2H
ABC
Sousa
2
1
W
27.10.21
H2H
Sousa
ABC
3
0
L
28.08.21
H2H
Sousa
ABC
2
0
L
13.06.21
H2H
ABC
Sousa
4
0
W
Last matches: ABC
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
H2H at home: ABC
16.05.26
H2H
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
06.01.24
H2H
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
09.11.21
H2H
ABC
Sousa
2
1
W
13.06.21
H2H
ABC
Sousa
4
0
W
Last matches: Sousa
01.06.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Pombal
2
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
0
0
D
15.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
01.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
1
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
19.04.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
H2H away: Sousa
16.05.26
H2H
ABC
Sousa
2
0
L
06.01.24
H2H
ABC
Sousa
1
0
L
09.11.21
H2H
ABC
Sousa
2
1
L
13.06.21
H2H
ABC
Sousa
4
0
L

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ABC Home
10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5
Sousa Away
10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)