DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Riisvangen
Referee: J. Bogelund
Aarhus Fremad
Match Timeline
HB Koge
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
L. Callo
Aarhus Fremad
🟨
39'
E. Semovski
HB Koge
🟨
39'
M. Kirchheiner
Aarhus Fremad
🟨
43'
A. Pisani
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
62'
V. Sorensen ↔ M. Salah
HB Koge
🔄
69'
C. Jensen Tue ↔ L. Achton
HB Koge
🔄
77'
M. Kaastrup ↔ K. Lunding
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
77'
L. Riisgaard ↔ E. Egerton
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
77'
M. Kirchheiner ↔ M. Ryberg
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
77'
E. Semovski ↔ B. Alkhoudari
HB Koge
🟨
84'
M. Jakobsen
HB Koge
🔄
86'
A. Pisani ↔ B. Rolland
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
87'
K. Andersen ↔ A. Holvad
Aarhus Fremad

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aarhus Fremad Win 52.8%
Draw 15.7%
HB Koge Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aarhus Fremad1.56
HB Koge1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad
WWDLW
42 GF / 35 GA
HB Koge HB Koge
WLDWL
38 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
15
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 28 matches
HB Koge HB Koge 28 matches
Aarhus Fremad Statistic HB Koge
9 Wins 10
9 Draws 6
10 Losses 12
42 Goals For 38
35 Goals Against 46
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
15 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Aarhus Fremad's more proactive style and HB Koge's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HB Koge. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. HB Koge look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HB Koge having the stronger overall control.

Aarhus Fremad Analysis

Aarhus Fremad come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 36 points after 28 matches. With 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 42:35, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Andersen (12 goals), M. Kaastrup (6 goals), M. Kubel (6 goals), with creative support from M. Kubel (7 assists), M. Agnarsson (6 assists), M. Kaastrup (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

HB Koge Analysis

HB Koge come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 36 points after 28 matches. The return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, together with goals at 38:46, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Gothler (9 goals), C. Jensen Tue (6 goals), T. Thomsen (6 goals), with creative support from T. Thomsen (3 assists), G. Larsen (3 assists), S. Larsen (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Aarhus Fremad won 0 times, HB Koge won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Aarhus Fremad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
H2H summary: Aarhus Fremad wins 0, draws 2, HB Koge wins 2

Lineups

Aarhus Fremad
Formation
HB Koge
K. Kiilerich
K. Kiilerich
M. Kirchheiner
M. Kirchheiner
A. Pisani
A. Pisani
L. Callo
L. Callo
S. Baekgard
S. Baekgard
F. Grube
F. Grube
M. Kirchheiner
M. Kirchheiner
M. Agnarsson
M. Agnarsson
L. Riisgaard
L. Riisgaard
K. Andersen
K. Andersen
M. Kaastrup
M. Kaastrup
N. Sommergaard
N. Sommergaard
M. Romer
M. Romer
M. Jakobsen
M. Jakobsen
L. Bust
L. Bust
V. Sorensen
V. Sorensen
C. Jensen Tue
C. Jensen Tue
G. Larsen
G. Larsen
S. Hald
S. Hald
A. Gothler
A. Gothler
T. Thomsen
T. Thomsen
E. Semovski
E. Semovski
Aarhus Fremad 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Kiilerich
10
M. Kirchheiner
🟨 39'
4
A. Pisani
↓ 86' 🟨 43'
33
L. Callo
🟨 28'
8
S. Baekgard
6
F. Grube
27
M. Kirchheiner
↓ 77'
3
M. Agnarsson
47
L. Riisgaard
↓ 77'
9
K. Andersen
↓ 87'
7
M. Kaastrup
↓ 77'
Substitutes
30
V. Hojbjerg
16
A. Holvad
↑ 87'
11
K. Lunding
↑ 77'
28
E. Egerton
↑ 77'
15
C. Nygaard
12
M. Ryberg
↑ 77'
19
B. Rolland
↑ 86'
2
M. Kjolby
20
O. Hjaltason
HB Koge 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
N. Sommergaard
27
M. Romer
22
M. Jakobsen
🟨 84'
2
L. Bust
14
V. Sorensen
↓ 62'
10
C. Jensen Tue
↓ 69'
28
G. Larsen
16
S. Hald
20
A. Gothler
9
T. Thomsen
19
E. Semovski
↓ 77' 🟨 39'
Substitutes
12
D. Talyspayev
17
B. Alkhoudari
↑ 77'
34
A. Choukri
24
M. Rasmussen
35
L. Achton
↑ 69'
18
M. Salah
↑ 62'
23
M. Westergren
31
N. Stolshoj
Last matches: Aarhus Fremad
26.06.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
Brann
0
1
L
30.05.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
B 93
2
2
D
22.05.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Aalborg
5
0
W
14.05.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Hobro
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Middelfart
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Hobro
0
1
L
22.04.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Middelfart
5
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Aalborg
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
B 93
3
1
W
06.04.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
0
2
L
21.03.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Hillerød
0
1
L
14.03.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
AC Horsens
0
0
D
06.03.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Aalborg
1
0
W
28.02.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Middelfart
4
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
Hobro
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
Hamburger SV II
5
5
D
04.02.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
Vejle
3
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
Polonia Warszawa
2
3
L
21.01.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
Mlada Boleslav
2
2
D
16.01.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
FC Fredericia
4
4
D
Last matches: HB Koge
30.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Aalborg
0
1
L
24.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
0
1
L
16.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Middelfart
4
0
W
01.05.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
3
2
W
26.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Aalborg
1
1
D
22.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
2
1
W
17.04.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
2
1
W
10.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Middelfart
2
0
W
06.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
HB Koge
Lyngby
3
3
D
13.03.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
0
2
L
06.03.26
1.
HB Koge
Esbjerg
0
1
L
27.02.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Ishøj
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Kyzyl-Zhar
0
0
D
12.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Obolon'-Brovar
3
3
D
10.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Bunyodkor
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
HB Koge
Lyngby
2
4
L
24.01.26
Fri
HB Koge
AB Copenhagen
3
3
D
16.01.26
Fri
HB Koge
Naestved
1
1
D
H2H: Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge
09.05.26
H2H
Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
0
0
D
06.04.26
H2H
HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
2
0
L
23.11.25
H2H
Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
2
2
D
25.07.25
H2H
HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
2
1
L
Last matches: Aarhus Fremad
26.06.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
Brann
0
1
L
22.05.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Aalborg
5
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Hobro
0
1
L
22.04.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Middelfart
5
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
B 93
3
1
W
14.03.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
AC Horsens
0
0
D
28.02.26
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Middelfart
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
Hamburger SV II
5
5
D
21.01.26
Fri
Aarhus Fremad
Mlada Boleslav
2
2
D
23.11.25
1.
Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
2
2
D
01.11.25
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Hvidovre
0
0
D
25.10.25
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
0
1
L
04.10.25
1.
Aarhus Fremad
B 93
1
2
L
20.09.25
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Hobro
3
0
W
29.08.25
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Aalborg
5
1
W
20.08.25
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Kolding IF
2
2
D
09.08.25
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Hillerød
3
1
W
02.08.25
1.
Aarhus Fremad
Lyngby
0
2
L
H2H at home: Aarhus Fremad
09.05.26
H2H
Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
0
0
D
23.11.25
H2H
Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
2
2
D
Last matches: HB Koge
30.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Aalborg
0
1
L
16.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Middelfart
4
0
W
22.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
2
1
W
17.04.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
2
1
W
13.03.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
0
2
L
27.02.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Kyzyl-Zhar
0
0
D
12.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Obolon'-Brovar
3
3
D
10.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Bunyodkor
4
2
W
16.01.26
Fri
HB Koge
Naestved
1
1
D
23.11.25
1.
HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
2
2
D
31.10.25
1.
HB Koge
AC Horsens
3
2
W
23.10.25
1.
HB Koge
Hvidovre
1
3
L
02.10.25
1.
HB Koge
Aalborg
1
2
L
21.09.25
1.
HB Koge
Lyngby
0
4
L
01.09.25
1.
HB Koge
Esbjerg
2
3
L
23.08.25
1.
HB Koge
Hillerød
1
3
L
16.08.25
1.
HB Koge
Middelfart
2
2
D
01.08.25
1.
HB Koge
Kolding IF
1
3
L
H2H away: HB Koge
09.05.26
H2H
Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
0
0
D
23.11.25
H2H
Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
2
2
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round