NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Color Line Stadion
Referee: M. Stofringshaug
Aalesund
Match Timeline
Ham-Kam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
V. Jonsson
Aalesund
🟨
42'
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Aalesund
44'
M. Johnsgard · Assist: P. Metcalfe
Ham-Kam
🔄
46'
J. Orsahl ↔ K. Nesso
Aalesund
54'
M. Gjone · Assist: P. Metcalfe
Ham-Kam
57'
M. Reed · Assist: E. Osenbroch
Aalesund
🔄
66'
F. Sjolstad ↔ I. Kukleci
Ham-Kam
🔄
66'
M. Johnsgard ↔ W. Osnes-Ringen
Ham-Kam
🔄
71'
M. Reed ↔ H. Melland
Aalesund
🔄
71'
U. Syversen ↔ S. Haram
Aalesund
VAR
72'
Mame Alassane Niang
Ham-Kam
🟨
73'
Mathias Christensen
Aalesund
🔄
80'
V. Jonsson ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
80'
H. Udahl ↔ J. Gonstad
Ham-Kam
🔄
81'
K. Lonebu ↔ I. Djantou
Aalesund
🔄
81'
M. Christensen ↔ H. Hammer
Aalesund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aalesund Win 33.4%
Draw 21.6%
Ham-Kam Win 45%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalesund1.51
Ham-Kam1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalesund Aalesund
WWDLW
27 GF / 31 GA
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WLDWL
28 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
12
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
10
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalesund Aalesund 17 matches
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 16 matches
Aalesund Statistic Ham-Kam
5 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
8 Losses 6
27 Goals For 28
31 Goals Against 22
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
12 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.67
14.4 Total Shots 11.22
4.2 Corners 4.33
42.6% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ham-Kam. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Ham-Kam carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 13 points while Aalesund sit 12 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Aalesund Analysis

So far, Aalesund have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 9 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Lonebu (5 goals), H. Melland (3 goals), Emil Engqvist (1 goals), with creative support from J. Orsahl (2 assists), H. Melland (1 assists), Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ham-Kam Analysis

So far, Ham-Kam have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 13 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:14 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Udahl (5 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), Anders Trondsen (1 goals), with creative support from V. Jonsson (2 assists), L. Mettler (1 assists), M. Gjone (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 5 times, Ham-Kam won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:18 from Aalesund's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)
Predicted formations: Aalesund 5-3-2 / Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Missing players: Aalesund 7, Ham-Kam 2
H2H summary: Aalesund wins 5, draws 5, Ham-Kam wins 3
Stats
Aalesund Aalesund
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
6
8 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 6
11 Shots insidebox 12
6 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
360 Total passes 485
300 Passes accurate 402
2.40 expected_goals 2.12
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aalesund
Formation
Ham-Kam
K. Klaesson
K. Klaesson
U. Charles
U. Charles
U. Syversen
U. Syversen
A. Kjelsen
A. Kjelsen
O. Gudmundsson
O. Gudmundsson
J. Orsahl
J. Orsahl
M. Christensen
M. Christensen
E. Hagen
E. Hagen
E. Osenbroch
🎯
E. Osenbroch
M. Reed
M. Reed
K. Lonebu
K. Lonebu
M. Sandberg
M. Sandberg
V. Jonsson
V. Jonsson
M. Gjone
M. Gjone
F. Sjolstad
F. Sjolstad
E. Amundsen-Day
E. Amundsen-Day
I. Hoffmann
I. Hoffmann
M. Johnsgard
M. Johnsgard
P. Metcalfe
🎯
P. Metcalfe
A. Potur
A. Potur
M. Niang
M. Niang
H. Udahl
H. Udahl
Aalesund 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
K. Klaesson
G
14
U. Charles
D
25
U. Syversen
↓ 71'
5
A. Kjelsen
3
O. Gudmundsson
D
16
J. Orsahl
↓ 46'
21
M. Christensen
↓ 81'
18
E. Hagen
🟨 42'
M
15
E. Osenbroch
🎯 57'
M
27
M. Reed
⚽ 57' ↓ 71'
F
39
K. Lonebu
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
26
T. Larsen
G
22
E. Engqvist
D
8
H. Melland
↑ 71'
M
2
M. Andresen
D
4
S. Haram
↑ 71'
D
20
I. Djantou
↑ 81'
F
7
K. Nesso
↑ 46'
M
6
H. Hammer
↑ 81'
Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Starting XI
12
M. Sandberg
G
7
V. Jonsson
⚽ 24' ↓ 80'
D
2
M. Gjone
⚽ 54'
D
23
F. Sjolstad
↓ 66'
D
3
E. Amundsen-Day
D
24
I. Hoffmann
D
8
M. Johnsgard
⚽ 44' ↓ 66'
M
26
P. Metcalfe
🎯 44' 🎯 54'
M
17
A. Potur
M
29
M. Niang
F
19
H. Udahl
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
13
S. Ostraat
G
22
S. Nilsen
↑ 80'
D
18
G. Simenstad
M
15
I. Kukleci
↑ 66'
D
10
L. Mettler
M
20
J. Gonstad
↑ 80'
F
28
D. Benjamin
F
4
H. Opsahl
D
6
W. Osnes-Ringen
↑ 66'
M
Last matches: Aalesund
25.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Tromso
1
1
D
20.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Rosenborg
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
15.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Sirius
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
hodd
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
0
2
L
Last matches: Ham-Kam
20.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
25.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
16.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
08.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Molde
1
4
L
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
26.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
2
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
1
L
H2H: Aalesund vs Ham-Kam
29.05.26
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
20.05.25
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
13.08.23
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
07.07.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
2
1
L
17.03.23
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
3
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
0
0
D
08.05.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
0
0
D
03.10.21
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
21.07.21
H2H
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
2
3
W
28.08.19
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
5
2
W
16.06.19
H2H
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
1
2
W
07.10.18
H2H
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
1
3
W
27.05.18
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
Last matches: Aalesund
20.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
hodd
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
0
2
L
H2H at home: Aalesund
29.05.26
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
20.05.25
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
13.08.23
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
17.03.23
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
3
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
0
0
D
03.10.21
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
28.08.19
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
5
2
W
27.05.18
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
Last matches: Ham-Kam
20.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Molde
1
4
L
26.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
25.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
2
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
1
L
H2H away: Ham-Kam
29.05.26
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
20.05.25
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
13.08.23
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
0
2
W
17.03.23
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
3
1
L
16.10.22
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
0
0
D
03.10.21
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
28.08.19
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
5
2
L
27.05.18
H2H
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
1
2
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
2 13 7 4 2 18:14 4 25
D D L W D
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 11 6 1 4 17:11 6 19
L L W L W
5 11 6 1 4 18:13 5 19
W L W L W
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
W L W L D
10 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
W D W L L
11 12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
13 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
D D W W L
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Aalesund 7 missing
-
P. Ngongo
Missing Fixture Surgery
OUT
-
M. Kristensen
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
J. Seehusen
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
P. Aukland
Questionable Knock
OUT
-
D. Johannsson
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
K. Lonebu
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT
-
O. Gudmundsson
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT
Ham-Kam 2 missing
-
L. Mares
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
A. Ekeroth
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT