DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Aalborg Portland Park
Referee: A. Uslu
Aalborg
Match Timeline
Hobro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
E. Sogaard
Hobro
31'
M. Kubel · Assist: M. Nielsen
Aalborg
50'
S. Andreasen · Assist: O. Klitten
Hobro
🟨
57'
E. Makolli
Aalborg
🔄
60'
M. Kubel ↔ W. Thomsen
Aalborg
🔄
61'
K. John ↔ M. Kaasa
Aalborg
🔄
61'
F. Borsting ↔ A. Maarup
Aalborg
🔄
63'
M. Pedersen ↔ Z. Hyltoft
Hobro
🔄
73'
R. Hauge ↔ O. Meedom
Hobro
🔄
73'
S. Andreasen ↔ M. Bruhn
Hobro
🔄
84'
C. Enemark ↔ M. Haarup
Hobro
🔄
87'
A. Andersson ↔ A. Noshe
Aalborg
🔄
90+4'
J. Adedeji ↔ A. Diagne
Aalborg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aalborg Win 40.6%
Draw 7.3%
Hobro Win 52.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalborg1.52
Hobro1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalborg Aalborg
WWDLW
46 GF / 37 GA
Hobro Hobro
WLDWL
32 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
15
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalborg Aalborg 27 matches
Hobro Hobro 27 matches
Aalborg Statistic Hobro
11 Wins 9
8 Draws 7
8 Losses 11
46 Goals For 32
37 Goals Against 34
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
15 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 10
11 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Aalborg's more proactive style and Hobro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hobro. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hobro having the stronger overall control. Aalborg come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Aalborg Analysis

Aalborg come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 41 points after 27 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a 46:37 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on N. Helenius (10 goals), K. Hansen (9 goals), K. John (7 goals), with creative support from M. Nielsen (5 assists), K. John (4 assists), V. Moller (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Hobro Analysis

Hobro approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 34 points after 27 outings. With 9 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:34, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Bruhn (8 goals), O. Klitten (5 goals), S. Andreasen (5 goals), with creative support from L. Klitten (6 assists), M. Nielsen (3 assists), O. Klitten (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Aalborg won 3 times, Hobro won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Aalborg's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: Aalborg wins 3, draws 6, Hobro wins 5

Lineups

Hobro
Formation
Aalborg
J. Dakir
J. Dakir
E. Sogaard
E. Sogaard
G. Bjerge
G. Bjerge
F. Dietz
F. Dietz
L. Klitten
L. Klitten
O. Klitten
🎯
O. Klitten
M. Pedersen
M. Pedersen
C. Enemark
C. Enemark
S. Andreasen
S. Andreasen
R. Hauge
R. Hauge
M. Huldahl
M. Huldahl
B. Gronkjaer
B. Gronkjaer
A. Andersson
A. Andersson
E. Makolli
E. Makolli
C. Olsson
C. Olsson
M. Nielsen
🎯
M. Nielsen
J. Adedeji
J. Adedeji
A. Hapnes
A. Hapnes
F. Borsting
F. Borsting
K. Hansen
K. Hansen
K. John
K. John
M. Kubel
M. Kubel
Hobro 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
J. Dakir
18
E. Sogaard
🟨 22'
15
G. Bjerge
13
F. Dietz
27
L. Klitten
7
O. Klitten
🎯 50'
8
M. Pedersen
↓ 63'
3
C. Enemark
↓ 84'
9
S. Andreasen
⚽ 50' ↓ 73'
11
R. Hauge
↓ 73'
22
M. Huldahl
Substitutes
1
A. Sondergaard
17
Z. Hyltoft
↑ 63'
29
M. Haarup
↑ 84'
5
M. Kannegaard
12
M. Jacobsen
16
O. Meedom
↑ 73'
23
M. Bruhn
↑ 73'
47
A. Bryld
41
H. Dahl
Aalborg 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
B. Gronkjaer
3
A. Andersson
↓ 87'
33
E. Makolli
🟨 57'
15
C. Olsson
5
M. Nielsen
🎯 31'
7
J. Adedeji
↓ 90+4'
8
A. Hapnes
25
F. Borsting
↓ 61'
11
K. Hansen
27
K. John
↓ 61'
14
M. Kubel
⚽ 31' ↓ 60'
Substitutes
1
V. Muller
23
M. Kaasa
↑ 61'
18
A. Maarup
↑ 61'
31
A. Noshe
↑ 87'
35
E. Amankwah
37
A. Diagne
↑ 90+4'
32
C. Tcacenco
44
W. Thomsen
↑ 60'
43
G. Ejsing
Last matches: Aalborg
30.05.26
1.
Aalborg
HB Koge
1
0
W
22.05.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
0
5
L
15.05.26
1.
Aalborg
B 93
1
1
D
08.05.26
1.
Aalborg
Middelfart
1
3
L
26.04.26
1.
Aalborg
HB Koge
1
1
D
23.04.26
1.
Aalborg
B 93
3
2
W
18.04.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
3
1
W
10.04.26
1.
Aalborg
Hobro
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Aalborg
Middelfart
5
2
W
21.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Esbjerg
1
1
D
14.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Hobro
0
1
L
06.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
0
1
L
27.02.26
1.
Aalborg
Hillerød
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
Sandefjord
0
4
L
16.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
Thisted FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
Skive
3
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalborg
Sonderjyske
3
3
D
17.01.26
Fri
Aalborg
Randers FC
3
2
W
30.11.25
1.
Aalborg
AC Horsens
0
0
D
Last matches: Hobro
30.05.26
1.
Hobro
Middelfart
3
2
W
24.05.26
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
1
0
W
14.05.26
1.
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
0
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Hobro
B 93
3
3
D
26.04.26
1.
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
1
0
W
22.04.26
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
1
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Hobro
Middelfart
6
0
W
10.04.26
1.
Hobro
Aalborg
0
1
L
03.04.26
1.
Hobro
B 93
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Hobro
Middelfart
1
0
W
14.03.26
1.
Hobro
Aalborg
1
0
W
06.03.26
1.
Hobro
Kolding IF
1
2
L
27.02.26
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Vejgaard B
2
4
L
20.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Vendsyssel FF
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Oleksandria
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Hobro
AC Horsens
0
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Hobro
Thisted FC
2
0
W
15.01.26
Fri
Hobro
Aarhus
2
3
L
H2H: Aalborg vs Hobro
01.05.26
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
10.04.26
H2H
Hobro
Aalborg
0
1
W
14.03.26
H2H
Hobro
Aalborg
1
0
L
01.08.25
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
29.06.24
H2H
Hobro
Aalborg
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
2
3
L
12.04.24
H2H
Hobro
Aalborg
2
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
2
L
24.08.23
H2H
Hobro
Aalborg
1
2
W
08.07.23
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
0
0
D
24.06.21
H2H
Hobro
Aalborg
1
0
L
01.12.19
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
05.10.19
H2H
Hobro
Aalborg
0
2
W
26.04.19
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
07.04.19
H2H
Hobro
Aalborg
1
1
D
Last matches: Aalborg
30.05.26
1.
Aalborg
HB Koge
1
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Aalborg
Middelfart
1
3
L
23.04.26
1.
Aalborg
B 93
3
2
W
18.04.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
3
1
W
21.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Esbjerg
1
1
D
06.03.26
1.
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
0
1
L
27.02.26
1.
Aalborg
Hillerød
3
3
D
16.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
Thisted FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Aalborg
Skive
3
2
W
22.11.25
1.
Aalborg
Kolding IF
0
3
L
25.10.25
1.
Aalborg
Lyngby
3
2
W
02.10.25
1.
Aalborg
HB Koge
2
1
W
21.09.25
1.
Aalborg
B 93
3
0
W
14.09.25
1.
Aalborg
Middelfart
4
0
W
22.08.25
1.
Aalborg
Hvidovre
4
0
W
15.08.25
1.
Aalborg
AC Horsens
0
2
L
01.08.25
1.
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
H2H at home: Aalborg
01.05.26
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
01.08.25
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
2
3
L
26.11.23
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
2
L
08.07.23
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
0
0
D
01.12.19
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
26.04.19
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
Last matches: Hobro
24.05.26
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
1
0
W
18.04.26
1.
Hobro
Middelfart
6
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Hobro
B 93
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Hobro
Middelfart
1
0
W
06.03.26
1.
Hobro
Kolding IF
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Hobro
Oleksandria
2
2
D
28.11.25
1.
Hobro
B 93
1
0
W
02.11.25
1.
Hobro
Lyngby
0
3
L
16.10.25
1.
Hobro
Esbjerg
1
1
D
03.10.25
1.
Hobro
AC Horsens
3
3
D
20.09.25
1.
Hobro
Aarhus Fremad
0
3
L
29.08.25
1.
Hobro
Hvidovre
1
1
D
16.08.25
1.
Hobro
Hillerød
2
0
W
01.08.25
1.
Hobro
Aalborg
1
1
D
18.07.25
1.
Hobro
HB Koge
0
2
L
H2H away: Hobro
01.05.26
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
01.08.25
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
2
3
W
26.11.23
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
2
W
08.07.23
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
0
0
D
01.12.19
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D
26.04.19
H2H
Aalborg
Hobro
1
1
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10
Hobro Away
22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round