Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
44.6%
|
2.98 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
2.05 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.38 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.5%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Aldosivi
Sarmiento Junin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aldosivi
30 matches
Sarmiento Junin
28 matches
| Aldosivi | Statistic | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 2 |
| 16 | Losses | 14 |
| 24 | Goals For | 31 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.37 | Shots On Goal | 3.81 |
| 12.15 | Total Shots | 10.5 |
| 4.15 | Corners | 3.69 |
| 43.1% | Ball Possession | 44.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sarmiento Junin carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 19 points while Aldosivi sit 14 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sarmiento Junin. Aldosivi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aldosivi expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sarmiento Junin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarmiento Junin having the stronger overall control.
Aldosivi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 8 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 6:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Vombergar (4 goals), T. Fernández (3 goals), F. Román (1 goals), with creative support from T. Fernández (3 assists), F. Román (1 assists), S. Moya (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sarmiento Junin sit 11 with 19 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 13:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Junior Marabel (8 goals), Mauricio Martínez (2 goals), Cristian Zabala (1 goals), with creative support from Junior Marabel (3 assists), Cristian Zabala (1 assists), Pablo Magnin (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Aldosivi won 2 times, Sarmiento Junin won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:16 from Aldosivi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sarmiento Junin
Away
|
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 |
Aldosivi
Home
|
16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
L
L
L
L
D
|