Login Register
TURKEY › 1. LIG
09.10.2026 17:00

Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.7%
Odds 2.75
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.14
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.7%
2.75 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.14 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71%
1.08 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Ümraniyespor Win 15.2%
Draw 7.2%
Sarıyer Win 77.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ümraniyespor0.92
Sarıyer1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
WWDLW
7 GF / 14 GA
Sarıyer Sarıyer
WLDWL
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
4.13
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 9 matches
Sarıyer Sarıyer 8 matches
Ümraniyespor Statistic Sarıyer
1 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
5 Losses 2
7 Goals For 11
14 Goals Against 9
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
5 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
4.13 Shots On Goal 3.88
11.38 Total Shots 10
4.25 Corners 3.63
47.6% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sarıyer's more proactive style and Ümraniyespor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ümraniyespor expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sarıyer in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarıyer having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarıyer. Sarıyer carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 14 points while Ümraniyespor sit 16 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Ümraniyespor have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ümraniyespor Analysis

Ümraniyespor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 6 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Melih Bostan (1 goals), Álex Blanco (1 goals), Cebio Soukou (1 goals), with creative support from Cihan Topaloğlu (1 assists), Serkan Göksu (1 assists), Muhammet Tunahan Taşçı (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sarıyer Analysis

Sarıyer approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 14 points after 8 outings. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Batuhan Kör (2 goals), Marcos Silva (1 goals), E. Eze (1 goals), with creative support from Marcos Silva (1 assists), Cebrail Karayel (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ümraniyespor won 3 times, Sarıyer won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Ümraniyespor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
Predicted formations: Ümraniyespor 4-3-3 / Sarıyer 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ümraniyespor wins 3, draws 0, Sarıyer wins 1

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation