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CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
10.10.2026 13:00
Doosan Arena
Referee: O. Berka

Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.9%
Odds 5.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.9%
5.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.40 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
13.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
19.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Plzen Win 34.2%
Draw 16.9%
Mlada Boleslav Win 48.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plzen1.79
Mlada Boleslav2.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plzen Plzen
WWDLW
40 GF / 36 GA
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WLDWL
49 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
2.45
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
14
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
16
5
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plzen Plzen 19 matches
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 20 matches
Plzen Statistic Mlada Boleslav
7 Wins 14
6 Draws 3
6 Losses 3
40 Goals For 49
36 Goals Against 26
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 2.45
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
14 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 5.25
11.67 Total Shots 11.88
4.58 Corners 5.13
53.1% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Mlada Boleslav's more proactive style and Plzen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mlada Boleslav. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mlada Boleslav carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 17 points while Plzen sit 10 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Plzen expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Mlada Boleslav in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mlada Boleslav having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Plzen Analysis

Plzen sit 10 with 10 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 17:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Amar Memić (2 goals), Christophe Kabongo (2 goals), Patrik Hrošovský (1 goals), with creative support from Amar Memić (2 assists), Patrik Hrošovský (2 assists), Cheick Souaré (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

Mlada Boleslav come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 17 points after 8 matches. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 17:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Martin Šubert (5 goals), Jiří Klíma (4 goals), Solomon John (2 goals), with creative support from Solomon John (3 assists), Jiří Klíma (1 assists), Daniel Langhamer (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Plzen won 9 times, Mlada Boleslav won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:11 from Plzen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Plzen 3-4-3 / Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Plzen wins 9, draws 4, Mlada Boleslav wins 2

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 25:6 19 23
W W W W D
2 9 6 2 1 13:4 9 20
D W W W W
3 8 5 2 1 17:9 8 17
W L W W D
4 9 5 1 3 16:13 3 16
L W W L W
5 9 5 1 3 17:15 2 16
W L W W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:12 0 16
L W L W W
7 9 5 0 4 18:12 6 15
W W L L W
8 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D L W L D
9 9 4 2 3 8:9 -1 14
L W D W L
10
Plzen Home
9 2 4 3 17:17 0 10
L L D W D
11 9 3 1 5 7:17 -10 10
D L L L W
12 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L W L D D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
W W D L L
14 9 1 2 6 7:18 -11 5
D L L W L
15 9 0 4 5 7:16 -9 4
D L D D L
16 9 0 1 8 8:19 -11 1
D L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs