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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 10:00
Obolon Arena

Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds 3.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.83
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.08
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.2%
3.04 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.08 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Obolon'-Brovar Win 58.2%
Draw 14.8%
Kryvbas KR Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Obolon'-Brovar1.4
Kryvbas KR1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
WWDLW
20 GF / 26 GA
Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR
WLDWL
22 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
2
10
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 20 matches
Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 18 matches
Obolon'-Brovar Statistic Kryvbas KR
4 Wins 3
11 Draws 5
5 Losses 10
20 Goals For 22
26 Goals Against 36
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 2
10 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 1
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Obolon'-Brovar expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kryvbas KR in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kryvbas KR having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kryvbas KR. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Obolon'-Brovar Analysis

Obolon'-Brovar sit 15 with 4 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 2:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kryvbas KR Analysis

Kryvbas KR sit 14 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Obolon'-Brovar won 3 times, Kryvbas KR won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Obolon'-Brovar's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Obolon'-Brovar 4-2-3-1 / Kryvbas KR 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Obolon'-Brovar wins 3, draws 3, Kryvbas KR wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 15:5 10 18
W W W W L
2 7 6 0 1 15:4 11 18
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 15:5 10 14
D W L D W
4 6 4 1 1 9:5 4 13
W W D L W
5 6 4 0 2 12:4 8 12
W W W L L
6 7 2 3 2 6:6 0 9
W D D W D
7 7 2 2 3 6:7 -1 8
L L D W D
8 7 2 2 3 5:8 -3 8
L W D L W
9 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L D D L W
10 6 1 4 1 4:3 1 7
W L D D D
11 7 1 4 2 4:6 -2 7
L D D W L
12 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D L D W L
13 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D W
15 7 0 4 3 2:12 -10 4
D L L D D
16 7 0 2 5 5:18 -13 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga