De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
44%
|
4.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.36 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.36 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.5%
|
1.12 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
8.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-2 |
-
|
11.00 |
De Graafschap
Jong Utrecht
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
De Graafschap
15 matches
Jong Utrecht
12 matches
| De Graafschap | Statistic | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 24 | Goals For | 21 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.67 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.22 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 14.67 | Total Shots | 14.33 |
| 4.44 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 53.2% | Ball Possession | 45.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with De Graafschap expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Jong Utrecht in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jong Utrecht having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Jong Utrecht.
De Graafschap approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 11:22 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Kania (3 goals), D. Warmerdam (2 goals), Bjorn van Zijl (2 goals), with creative support from F. de Jong (3 assists), N. Martens (2 assists), T. Mero (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Jong Utrecht sit 20 with 7 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 15:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. C. Owen (5 goals), Bjorn Menzo (2 goals), Massien Ghaddari (2 goals), with creative support from Bjorn Menzo (2 assists), D. Laaouina (2 assists), Tijn den Boggende (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, De Graafschap won 8 times, Jong Utrecht won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:16 from De Graafschap's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 22 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 18 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 14 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 12 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 11 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 9 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | -9 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | -11 | 8 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
De Graafschap
Home
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 20 |
Jong Utrecht
Away
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
L
|