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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
10.10.2026 12:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Referee: Faouzi Benchabane

Nantes vs Reims Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds 3.39
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.89
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.5%
3.39 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.89 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.7%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Nantes Win 33.2%
Draw 7.3%
Reims Win 59.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nantes1.52
Reims1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nantes Nantes
WWDLW
20 GF / 17 GA
Reims Reims
WLDWL
27 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
10
3.29
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nantes Nantes 12 matches
Reims Reims 14 matches
Nantes Statistic Reims
4 Wins 6
2 Draws 6
6 Losses 2
20 Goals For 27
17 Goals Against 18
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 10
7 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
3.29 Shots On Goal 4.86
14.14 Total Shots 12.57
5.14 Corners 2.14
56.1% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Reims's more proactive style and Nantes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Reims carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 13 points while Nantes sit 15 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Reims. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nantes expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Reims in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Reims having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Nantes Analysis

Nantes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 7 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 9:13 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on W. Younoussa (2 goals), Killian Corredor (2 goals), Bahereba Guirassy (1 goals), with creative support from W. Younoussa (1 assists), Bahereba Guirassy (1 assists), L. Perrin (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Reims Analysis

Reims come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 7 matches. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Y. Fofana (6 goals), Y. El Kachati (2 goals), C. Kouranfal (2 goals), with creative support from D. Guindo (3 assists), Y. El Kachati (1 assists), S. Soumano (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nantes won 3 times, Reims won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Nantes's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Nantes 4-1-4-1 / Reims 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nantes wins 3, draws 2, Reims wins 9

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 19:8 11 16
D L W W W
2 7 4 2 1 9:7 2 14
W W W L D
3
Reims Away
7 3 4 0 15:9 6 13
D W D W W
4 7 3 3 1 6:5 1 12
D W L D W
5 7 2 4 1 10:7 3 10
D L W D D
6 7 3 1 3 8:7 1 10
W L L W W
7 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L L W D L
8 7 2 4 1 4:5 -1 10
D W D D W
9 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
W W D L D
10 7 2 2 3 6:6 0 8
W L D D L
11 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
L W D D L
12 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
L W D L L
13 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
D W L W L
14 7 2 1 4 14:16 -2 7
L L L D W
15 7 2 1 4 9:13 -4 7
W L W D L
16 7 0 6 1 4:6 -2 6
D D D D D
17 7 0 5 2 3:5 -2 5
L D D D D
18 7 1 2 4 8:14 -6 5
D L L L D
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3