HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.2%
|
3.01 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.69 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.73 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HNK Hajduk Split
22 matches
Dinamo Zagreb
19 matches
| HNK Hajduk Split | Statistic | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 11 |
| 2 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 49 | Goals For | 48 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 2.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.53 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 9.06 | Total Shots | 17.29 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 46.4% | Ball Possession | 54.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HNK Hajduk Split expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dinamo Zagreb in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dinamo Zagreb having the stronger overall control. HNK Hajduk Split come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dinamo Zagreb. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
HNK Hajduk Split come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 16 points after 8 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 16:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Michele Šego (4 goals), M. Livaja (3 goals), Marin Šotiček (2 goals), with creative support from Dalisson de Almeida (3 assists), Šimun Hrgović (2 assists), Adrion Pajaziti (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Dinamo Zagreb come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 7 matches. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Dion Drena Beljo (7 goals), Niko Galešić (1 goals), Arber Hoxha (1 goals), with creative support from Stjepan Radeljić (2 assists), Luka Stojković (2 assists), Matteo Pérez Vinlöf (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HNK Hajduk Split won 4 times, Dinamo Zagreb won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from HNK Hajduk Split's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dinamo Zagreb
Away
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 16 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 2 |
HNK Hajduk Split
Home
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 9 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:24 | -14 | 4 |
D
L
L
L
W
|