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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
10.10.2026 14:00
Sola Arena

IF Karlstad vs Arlanda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds 3.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.1%
3.88 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.65 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
IF Karlstad Win 28.5%
Draw 5.4%
Arlanda Win 66.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Karlstad1.41
Arlanda1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
WWDLW
45 GF / 33 GA
Arlanda Arlanda
WLDWL
64 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
17
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 31 matches
Arlanda Arlanda 33 matches
IF Karlstad Statistic Arlanda
13 Wins 16
9 Draws 9
9 Losses 8
45 Goals For 64
33 Goals Against 45
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
17 BTTS Yes 21
23 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 19
8 Over 3.5 16
10 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Arlanda look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arlanda. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arlanda having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

IF Karlstad Analysis

IF Karlstad sit 7 with 41 points after 25 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 37:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Arlanda Analysis

Arlanda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 48 points after 25 matches. The return of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 46:28, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, IF Karlstad won 2 times, Arlanda won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from IF Karlstad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: IF Karlstad wins 2, draws 0, Arlanda wins 1

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 18 3 4 60:20 40 57
W W W W W
2 25 14 6 5 46:28 18 48
W W W W L
3 25 14 5 6 47:34 13 47
D W L W W
4 25 13 6 6 51:25 26 45
L W L D W
5 25 12 7 6 41:35 6 43
D W D D W
6 25 13 3 9 38:40 -2 42
W L D W W
7 25 11 8 6 37:25 12 41
D D D D L
8 25 9 5 11 43:45 -2 32
L L W L L
9 25 9 5 11 34:41 -7 32
W L W W L
10 25 9 5 11 33:41 -8 32
W D L L W
11 25 9 3 13 29:43 -14 30
L L W L W
12 25 7 6 12 36:52 -16 27
L W L D L
13 25 5 9 11 24:36 -12 24
L L D L L
14 25 5 7 13 30:46 -16 22
D W W L L
15 25 5 4 16 33:55 -22 19
D L L W L
16 25 3 6 16 45:61 -16 15
D L L L W