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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
02.05.2026 13:30
PreZero Arena
Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
Match Timeline
VfB Stuttgart
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
A. Kramaric · Assist: F. Asllani
1899 Hoffenheim
⚽
20'
C. Fuhrich · Assist: R. Hendriks
VfB Stuttgart
⚽
23'
B. Toure
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
49'
Andrej Kramarić
1899 Hoffenheim
⚽
49'
A. Kramaric · Assist: B. Toure
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
55'
J. Vagnoman ↔ E. Demirovic
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
55'
J. Chabot ↔ M. Mittelstadt
VfB Stuttgart
🟨
58'
Bilal El Khannouss
VfB Stuttgart
⚽
64'
E. Demirovic · Assist: J. Leweling
VfB Stuttgart
🟨
68'
Bernardo
1899 Hoffenheim
🟥
69'
Atakan Karazor
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
76'
B. El Khannouss ↔ L. Assignon
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
81'
T. Lemperle ↔ M. Moerstedt
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
83'
Ozan Kabak
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
86'
J. Leweling ↔ T. Tomas
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
90'
F. Asllani ↔ A. Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
90+1'
A. Kramaric ↔ M. Damar
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
90+1'
W. Burger ↔ K. Akpoguma
1899 Hoffenheim
⚽
90'
T. Tomas
VfB Stuttgart

1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
77.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
87.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
1899 Hoffenheim Win 22.3%
Draw 41.8%
VfB Stuttgart Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
1899 Hoffenheim1.73
VfB Stuttgart1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
WWDLW
61 GF / 45 GA
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
WLDWL
84 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.97
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
21
BTTS Yes
24
22
Over 2.5
29
5.16
Shots on Goal
6.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 31 matches
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 44 matches
1899 Hoffenheim Statistic VfB Stuttgart
17 Wins 23
6 Draws 6
8 Losses 15
61 Goals For 84
45 Goals Against 60
1.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
21 BTTS Yes 24
27 Over 1.5 37
22 Over 2.5 29
15 Over 3.5 19
6 Clean Sheets 13
5 Failed To Score 8
5.16 Shots On Goal 6.11
13.94 Total Shots 16.11
5.68 Corners 5.77
55% Ball Possession 58.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward VfB Stuttgart. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

1899 Hoffenheim Analysis

1899 Hoffenheim arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 57 points after 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 61:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrej Kramarić (12 goals), F. Asllani (10 goals), T. Lemperle (8 goals), with creative support from B. Toure (8 assists), Vladimír Coufal (8 assists), F. Asllani (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

VfB Stuttgart Analysis

Placed 4 with 57 points from 31 outings, VfB Stuttgart continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 63:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Deniz Undav (18 goals), Ermedin Demirović (10 goals), Jamie Leweling (7 goals), with creative support from Jamie Leweling (8 assists), C. Fuhrich (6 assists), Deniz Undav (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 3 times, VfB Stuttgart won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:25 from 1899 Hoffenheim's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: 1899 Hoffenheim 3-4-2-1 / VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: 1899 Hoffenheim wins 3, draws 8, VfB Stuttgart wins 4

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
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Relegation Playoffs
Relegation