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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
18.04.2026 13:30
PreZero Arena
Referee: Daniel Siebert, Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
Match Timeline
Borussia Dortmund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Wouter Burger
1899 Hoffenheim
VAR
39'
Andrej Kramarić
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
42'
N. Sule ↔ R. Bensebaini
Borussia Dortmund
⚽
42'
A. Kramaric
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
60'
B. Toure ↔ A. Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
60'
W. Burger ↔ G. Promel
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
60'
F. Silva ↔ S. Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
71'
M. Sabitzer ↔ S. Inacio
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
71'
D. Svensson ↔ J. Brandt
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
72'
Bernardo ↔ R. Hranac
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
77'
Alexander Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
82'
T. Lemperle ↔ M. Moerstedt
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
84'
Nico Schlotterbeck
Borussia Dortmund
⚽
87'
S. Guirassy · Assist: R. Bensebaini
Borussia Dortmund
VAR
90+6'
Alexander Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
90+10'
Samuele Inacio
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
90+7'
Julian Ryerson
Borussia Dortmund
⚽
90'
A. Kramaric
1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
1899 Hoffenheim Win 29.4%
Draw 8%
Borussia Dortmund Win 62.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
1899 Hoffenheim1.69
Borussia Dortmund1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
WWDLW
57 GF / 43 GA
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WLDWL
82 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.97
Average Goals Scored
2.1
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
19
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
23
5.17
Shots on Goal
4.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 29 matches
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 39 matches
1899 Hoffenheim Statistic Borussia Dortmund
15 Wins 23
6 Draws 9
8 Losses 7
57 Goals For 82
43 Goals Against 50
1.97 Avg Goals Scored 2.1
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
19 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 35
20 Over 2.5 23
15 Over 3.5 16
6 Clean Sheets 15
5 Failed To Score 3
5.17 Shots On Goal 4.72
13.93 Total Shots 12.67
5.62 Corners 5.18
55.1% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Borussia Dortmund. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Borussia Dortmund look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1899 Hoffenheim expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Borussia Dortmund in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Borussia Dortmund having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

1899 Hoffenheim Analysis

1899 Hoffenheim are currently 6 in the standings with 51 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 57:43 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrej Kramarić (10 goals), F. Asllani (9 goals), Grischa Prömel (7 goals), with creative support from B. Toure (8 assists), Vladimír Coufal (7 assists), F. Asllani (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with V. Gendrey, K. Machida, A. Hlozek unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Borussia Dortmund Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 64 points from 29 games, Borussia Dortmund bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 19 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a 60:29 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on S. Guirassy (13 goals), M. Beier (8 goals), J. Brandt (7 goals), with creative support from J. Ryerson (12 assists), F. Silva (6 assists), M. Beier (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Can, F. Nmecha, K. Adeyemi unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 4 times, Borussia Dortmund won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:25 from 1899 Hoffenheim's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: 1899 Hoffenheim 3-4-1-2 / Borussia Dortmund 3-5-2
Missing players: 1899 Hoffenheim 3, Borussia Dortmund 3
H2H summary: 1899 Hoffenheim wins 4, draws 2, Borussia Dortmund wins 9

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
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Relegation