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SERBIA › SUPER LIGA
09.05.2026 15:30
Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost
Referee: N. Radakovic
Železničar Pančevo
Match Timeline
Radnik Surdulica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
3'
Nemanja Vidojević
Železničar Pančevo
VAR
3'
Nemanja Vidojević
Železničar Pančevo
⚽
4'
B. Duronjic
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
23'
Teo Lakić
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
30'
Martin Novaković
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
44'
Martin Novaković
Radnik Surdulica
🟥
44'
Martin Novaković
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
46'
T. Lakic ↔ S. Raskovic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
53'
A. Kosiah ↔ H. Hajdarevic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
60'
B. Duronjic ↔ D. Jovanovic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
67'
C. Lhernault ↔ J. Jevremovic
Železničar Pančevo
🔄
67'
N. Jovanovic ↔ A. Kuljanin
Železničar Pančevo
🟨
73'
Uroš Ilić
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
77'
Stefan Ranđelović
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
77'
K. Karikari ↔ D. Jovanovic
Železničar Pančevo
⚽
78'
J. Jevremovic · Assist: A. Kuljanin
Železničar Pančevo
🔄
81'
A. Pejovic ↔ A. Milicevic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
81'
E. Quarshie ↔ L. Stojanovic
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
90+4'
Christ Kouadio
Radnik Surdulica

Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Železničar Pančevo Win 70.9%
Draw 0%
Radnik Surdulica Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Železničar Pančevo1.32
Radnik Surdulica1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Železničar Pančevo Železničar Pančevo
WWDLW
47 GF / 34 GA
Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica
WLDWL
43 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
14
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
14
3.94
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Železničar Pančevo Železničar Pančevo 34 matches
Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 34 matches
Železničar Pančevo Statistic Radnik Surdulica
16 Wins 11
8 Draws 11
10 Losses 12
47 Goals For 43
34 Goals Against 42
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
14 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 11
16 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 10
3.94 Shots On Goal 4.03
10.91 Total Shots 12.09
4.62 Corners 4.59
52.2% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Železničar Pančevo expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Radnik Surdulica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Radnik Surdulica having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Radnik Surdulica.

Železničar Pančevo Analysis

Placed 4 with 51 points from 30 outings, Železničar Pančevo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 42:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Karikari (9 goals), S. Jasper (7 goals), S. Petrov (5 goals), with creative support from A. Kuljanin (5 assists), S. Jasper (3 assists), Stefan Pirgić (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Radnik Surdulica Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Radnik Surdulica have collected 39 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 37:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Owusu Douglas (9 goals), M. Novakovic (7 goals), Vukašin Bogdanović (7 goals), with creative support from Mateja Gašić (4 assists), Vukašin Bogdanović (3 assists), Aleksandar Pejović (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Železničar Pančevo won 5 times, Radnik Surdulica won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:3 from Železničar Pančevo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Železničar Pančevo 4-1-4-1 / Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Železničar Pančevo wins 5, draws 1, Radnik Surdulica wins 0

Standings

Superliga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 27 5 5 100:31 69 86
L D L W W
2 37 23 7 7 66:35 31 76
W W W W D
3 37 22 7 8 72:45 27 73
W D D W L
4 37 16 11 10 50:37 13 59
D D D W D
5 37 14 10 13 46:54 -8 52
L D W L D
6 37 12 13 12 49:47 2 49
W L D L D
7 37 11 13 13 44:48 -4 46
L D D L D
8 37 10 15 12 47:50 -3 45
D D L L D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification