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CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
10.10.2026 13:00
Referee: D. Vokoun

Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69%
Odds 2.49
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69%
2.49 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.90 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.44 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Zbrojovka Brno Win 69%
Draw 10.8%
FK Jablonec Win 20.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zbrojovka Brno1.6
FK Jablonec1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno
WWDLW
49 GF / 27 GA
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
WLDWL
46 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.04
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
13
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
11
4
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 24 matches
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 27 matches
Zbrojovka Brno Statistic FK Jablonec
16 Wins 15
2 Draws 6
6 Losses 6
49 Goals For 46
27 Goals Against 25
2.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
13 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 3.6
11.78 Total Shots 10.8
3.56 Corners 4.13
45.7% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and FK Jablonec's more proactive style and Zbrojovka Brno's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FK Jablonec. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zbrojovka Brno expected to line up in 3-4-3 and FK Jablonec in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FK Jablonec having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Zbrojovka Brno Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Zbrojovka Brno have collected 16 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel Vašulín (4 goals), Antonin Vanicek (3 goals), Tadeáš Vachoušek (1 goals), with creative support from Tadeáš Vachoušek (2 assists), Amadou Dante (2 assists), Antonin Vanicek (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FK Jablonec Analysis

So far, FK Jablonec have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 14 points from 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 11:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jan Chramosta (1 goals), Matěj Polidar (1 goals), Martin Cedidla (1 goals), with creative support from Richard Sedláček (2 assists), Jan Chramosta (1 assists), Matěj Polidar (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Zbrojovka Brno won 1 times, FK Jablonec won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from Zbrojovka Brno's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Zbrojovka Brno 3-4-3 / FK Jablonec 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Zbrojovka Brno wins 1, draws 0, FK Jablonec wins 5

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 25:6 19 23
W W W W D
2 9 6 2 1 13:4 9 20
D W W W W
3 8 5 2 1 17:9 8 17
W L W W D
4 9 5 1 3 16:13 3 16
L W W L W
5 9 5 1 3 17:15 2 16
W L W W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:12 0 16
L W L W W
7 9 5 0 4 18:12 6 15
W W L L W
8 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D L W L D
9 9 4 2 3 8:9 -1 14
L W D W L
10 9 2 4 3 17:17 0 10
L L D W D
11 9 3 1 5 7:17 -10 10
D L L L W
12 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L W L D D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
W W D L L
14 9 1 2 6 7:18 -11 5
D L L W L
15 9 0 4 5 7:16 -9 4
D L D D L
16 9 0 1 8 8:19 -11 1
D L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs