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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
20.09.2026 12:45
KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Referee: Marcin Szczerbowicz, Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
Match Timeline
Wisla Plock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Filip Szymczak
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
20'
David Čolina
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
42'
Afonso Silva
Wisla Plock
⚽
44'
L. Sekulski · Assist: Z. Rogelj
Wisla Plock
🟨
49'
Mateusz Grzybek
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
58'
M. Grzybek ↔ D. Michalski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
58'
S. Lyczko ↔ M. Mlinaric
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
58'
D. Colina ↔ S. Kerk
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
58'
F. Szymczak ↔ M. Kosidis
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
65'
S. Akere ↔ O. Kobacki
Wisla Plock
🔄
69'
J. Prsir ↔ K. Savvidis
Wisla Plock
🟨
76'
Patryk Kun
Wisla Plock
🔄
81'
S. Tavares ↔ M. Flis
Wisla Plock
🔄
81'
P. Kun ↔ F. Hiszpanski
Wisla Plock
🔄
82'
A. Lawniczak ↔ I. Orlikowski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
82'
L. Sekulski ↔ S. Hamulic
Wisla Plock
🟨
89'
Michał Nalepa
Zaglebie Lubin
⚽
90'
S. Hamulic · Assist: F. Hiszpanski
Wisla Plock

Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.2%
Odds 2.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.2%
2.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.00 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Zaglebie Lubin Win 74.2%
Draw 4.2%
Wisla Plock Win 21.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zaglebie Lubin1.35
Wisla Plock1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
WWDLW
30 GF / 25 GA
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
11
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
9
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 20 matches
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 16 matches
Zaglebie Lubin Statistic Wisla Plock
8 Wins 8
7 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
30 Goals For 24
25 Goals Against 18
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
11 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.86
13.13 Total Shots 15.71
3.75 Corners 6.71
41.9% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Zaglebie Lubin's more proactive style and Wisla Plock's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Wisla Plock arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Wisla Plock. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Zaglebie Lubin arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 12 points compared to Wisla Plock in 16 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Zaglebie Lubin Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Zaglebie Lubin have collected 12 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Sypek (1 goals), A. Ławniczak (1 goals), M. Reguła (1 goals), with creative support from J. Sypek (1 assists), M. Nalepa (1 assists), J. Ćorluka (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Wisla Plock Analysis

Wisla Plock sit 16 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Haglind-Sangré (1 goals), Ž. Rogelj (1 goals), S. Hamulić (1 goals), with creative support from Dani Pacheco (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Zaglebie Lubin won 5 times, Wisla Plock won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Zaglebie Lubin's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Zaglebie Lubin 3-4-3 / Wisla Plock 3-4-3
H2H summary: Zaglebie Lubin wins 5, draws 2, Wisla Plock wins 6

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation