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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
12.09.2026 18:15
KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Referee: Tomasz Kwiatkowski, Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
Match Timeline
GKS Katowice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
42'
K. Nowogonski · Assist: J. Corluka
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
44'
Damian Dąbrowski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
46'
B. Wolski ↔ K. Lukasiak
GKS Katowice
🔄
58'
F. Szymczak ↔ M. Kosidis
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
64'
E. Markovic ↔ M. Wedrychowski
GKS Katowice
🔄
68'
J. Corluka ↔ I. Orlikowski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
68'
K. Nowogonski ↔ J. Sypek
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
73'
E. Jirka ↔ M. Wdowiak
GKS Katowice
⚽
78'
M. Kosidis · Assist: I. Orlikowski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
83'
B. Nowak ↔ S. Bartlewicz
GKS Katowice
🔄
83'
M. Kowalczyk ↔ S. Milewski
GKS Katowice
🔄
87'
F. Kocaba ↔ J. Kolan
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
87'
D. Colina ↔ D. Michalski
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
90+7'
Jakub Kolan
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
90+4'
Roman Yakuba
Zaglebie Lubin
VAR
90+2'
Marcin Wasielewski
GKS Katowice
⚽
90'
A. Jedrych
GKS Katowice

Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.8%
Odds 2.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.8%
2.68 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.81 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.7%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Zaglebie Lubin Win 66.8%
Draw 6.2%
GKS Katowice Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zaglebie Lubin1.33
GKS Katowice1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
WWDLW
25 GF / 22 GA
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
WLDWL
41 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
9
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
14
3.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 18 matches
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 21 matches
Zaglebie Lubin Statistic GKS Katowice
6 Wins 12
7 Draws 1
5 Losses 8
25 Goals For 41
22 Goals Against 26
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
9 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
3.5 Shots On Goal 4
12.5 Total Shots 10
3.67 Corners 4
43.3% Ball Possession 35.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zaglebie Lubin expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and GKS Katowice in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward GKS Katowice having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors GKS Katowice.

Zaglebie Lubin Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin are currently 10 in the standings with 8 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 5:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Sypek (1 goals), F. Kocaba (1 goals), M. Reguła (1 goals), with creative support from J. Sypek (1 assists), M. Grzybek (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

GKS Katowice Analysis

From their first 6 matches, GKS Katowice have collected 9 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, while the 12:9 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Shkurin (5 goals), B. Nowak (1 goals), A. Jędrych (1 goals), with creative support from B. Nowak (3 assists), I. Shkurin (1 assists), Borja Galán (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Zaglebie Lubin won 1 times, GKS Katowice won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Zaglebie Lubin's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Zaglebie Lubin 3-4-2-1 / GKS Katowice 3-4-3
H2H summary: Zaglebie Lubin wins 1, draws 2, GKS Katowice wins 2

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation